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    Population Research    2005, 29 (6): 92-95.  
    Abstract4306)      PDF (77KB)(12249)       Save
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    Demographic Consequences of an Immediate Transition to a Universal Two-child Policy
    Zhai Zhenwu, Zhang Xianling, Jin Yongai
    Population Research    2014, 38 (2): 3-17.  
    Abstract7964)      PDF (723KB)(11572)       Save
    Fertility in China dropped below the replacement level in the early 1990s, and has been increasingly lower, arousing intense academic discussion on fertility policy adjustment.This paper estimates the size of objective population that is targeted by the two-child policy after computing the amount of the only children in 2012 based on the data of the 2005 national 1% population sampling survey, and analyzes its impact on number of annual births.The results show that on account of the large number of the objective population covered by the two-child policy and women's strong desire to have the second
    child,if there was an immediate transition to a universal two-child policy, number of annual births would sharply increase with the peak value up to nearly 50 million and a total fertility rate of about 4.5.However, immediately implementing the two-child policy could significantly retard the negative growth trend of population in the future, increase labor supply and slow down population aging in China.
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    Population Research    2006, 30 (4): 93-95.  
    Abstract6397)      PDF (244KB)(8691)       Save
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    Population Research    2006, 30 (1): 93-96.  
    Abstract2896)      PDF (92KB)(8026)       Save
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    Population Research    2006, 30 (2): 84-88.  
    Abstract3748)      PDF (312KB)(8022)       Save
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    A Study on Children Left Behind
    Duan Chengrong, Zhou Fulin
    Population Research    2005, 29 (1): 29-36.  
    Abstract3232)      PDF (242KB)(6881)       Save
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    Duan Chengrong, Yang Ge
    Population Research    2008, 32 (3): 15-25.  
    Abstract2853)      PDF (1368KB)(6480)       Save
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    Population Research    2003, 27 (6): 37-43.  
    Abstract1647)      PDF (118KB)(5981)       Save
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    Continuity or Change? Chinese Family in Transitional Era
    Yang Juhua, He Zhaohua
    Population Research    2014, 38 (2): 36-51.  
    Abstract1806)      PDF (807KB)(5755)       Save
     With industrialization,urbanization and modernization, the family institution has inevitably undergone changes. China has witnessed extraordinary social transformations over the past three decades. These forces have jointly brought about profound changes to the family organization. This paper traces the changing trend, patterns and characteristics in family structure, explores the causes of such change, and analyzes its consequences to family relationships andfamily functions in recent years in China. It has found that family size has shrunk,number of generations in the family is reduced,family forms
    become more diversified, and family relationship remain intimate but distanced. Also, many traditional family functions have been taken over by public agencies,and family norms and culture have been reshaped. While changesoccur in various ways and important challenges remain,the Chinese family has been so far resilient to societal transformation due to its deeply rooted tradition and current structural constraints. These have made intergenerational reciprocity attractive and prevented the Chinese family from decline. In the future, the government and the family have to face challenges brought about by demographic transition, persistently large-scale migration, and changing norms towards the family.
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    Process, Prospects and Countermeasures of Population Aging with Chinese Characteristics
    Wu Cangping, WangLin, Miao Ruifeng
    Population Research    2004, 28 (1): 8-15.  
    Abstract2924)      PDF (165KB)(5537)       Save
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    Cited: Baidu(68)
    Only Child and Families with Only Child in China
    Song Jian
    Population Research    2005, 29 (2): 16-24.  
    Abstract2043)      PDF (140KB)(5458)       Save
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    Cited: Baidu(26)
    Population Research    2011, 35 (2): 43-59.  
    Abstract5560)      PDF (1125KB)(5296)       Save
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    Population Research    1998, 22 (2): 63-67.  
    Abstract1750)      PDF (2323KB)(4982)       Save
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    Social Integration of Floating Population in Urban China:A Literature Review
    Population Research    2006, 30 (3): 87-94.  
    Abstract3063)      PDF (1217KB)(4703)       Save
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    Population Research    1997, 21 (4): 44-48.  
    Abstract1837)      PDF (2465KB)(4661)       Save
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    Effect Analysis of Population Increase on Economic Development
    Population Research    2001, 25 (1): 20-23.  
    Abstract1231)      PDF (108KB)(4636)       Save
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    Major Challenges for China’s Floating Population and Policy Suggestions:An Analysis of the 2010 Population Census Data
    Duan Chengrong, Lv Lidan, Zou Xiangjiang
    Population Research    2013, 37 (2): 17-24.  
    Abstract4755)      PDF (441KB)(4549)       Save
    This study  analyzes the trends and current  characteristics of floating population  in  China  and the major  challenges they  are facing ,on the basis of  the  latest  population  census  data. The  research  shows that the  size of floating population has increased continuously  and rapidly ,their mobility  intensity  is weakening ,migration  destinations  are  beginning  to  decentralize ,majority  of  the  migrants  are  moving  with  their spouses and more and more of  them are taking their young children with them ,the new - generation floaters whom were born  after  1980  account for  more than half  of  the  entire floating population. The floaters are fa- cing challenges such as unemployment ,lack of social security ,inequality in children ’s education ,and bar-
    riers in  social  integration. This article proposes corresponding  suggestions. The problem of  new - generation floaters and floating children  should be addressed adequately ,and there  is an  urgent  need to  accelerate the establishment  of  social  security for migrants. 
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    China’s Population Policy: Past, Present and Future
    Population Research    2000, 24 (4): 23-34.  
    Abstract2348)      PDF (872KB)(4385)       Save
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    Population Research    2008, 32 (2): 36-44.  
    Abstract2207)      PDF (468KB)(4245)       Save
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    Population Research    2007, 31 (3): 41-49.  
    Abstract1141)      PDF (1189KB)(4230)       Save
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    Population Research    2006, 30 (4): 70-76.  
    Abstract3746)      PDF (1241KB)(4205)       Save
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    Factors Affecting Population Distribution in Mountainous Areas: Geographically Weighted Regression Using Data from Bijie
    Zhang Yaojun, Ren Zhengwei
    Population Research    2012, 36 (4): 53-63.  
    Abstract4265)      PDF (1032KB)(4201)       Save
    This is a case study in which data are collected from Bijie in Guizhou Province and geographically weighted regression is performed,with comparison with OLS,to explore the influence of economic,social and natural factors on population density.Results demonstrate that economic and social factors have larger impact on population distribution than natural factors.Altitude does not influence population distribution significantly while slope does.There is negative correlation between population distribution and economic strength,urbanization level,transportation and terrain conditions.Medical conditions have positive influence on population distribution.Therefore in the future Bijie should enhance city and town construction,strengthen the ecological immigration and protect natural resource and environments to optimize population distribution.
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    Cited: Baidu(20)
    The Application of Generalized Linear Model in the Graduation of Life Table Mortality Rates
    Zhang Lianzeng;Duan Baige
    Population Research    2012, 36 (3): 89-103.  
    Abstract4044)      PDF (746KB)(4180)       Save
    Attempt has been made in this research to apply generalized linear models in graduating China′s life table mortality rates.Using demographic data of deaths by age and gender from China Population Statistical Yearbooks 1995-2006 and Statistical Yearbooks of China′s Population and Employment 2007-2010,the relationships between mortality and age and between mortality and year are explored by fitting death rates at ages from 0 to 89 using Poisson regression and negative binomial regression.Upon comparison of the fitting effects of the two models,the paper proposes to use B-spline function to smooth the death rates.Implications of this study are discussed for constructing China′s empirical life tables,providing theoretical foundation and practical reference for mortality analysis by China Insurance Regulatory Commission,and achieving market-oriented rates of life insurance and scientific management of the life insurance industry in China.
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    Cited: Baidu(4)
    Diversity of China’s Fertility Policy by Policy Fertility
    Guo Zhigang, Zhang Erli, Gu Baochang, Wang Feng
    Population Research    2003, 27 (5): 1-10.  
    Abstract2690)      PDF (231KB)(4170)       Save
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    Measurement and Theoretical Perspectives of Immigrant Assimilation in China
    Zhou Hao
    Population Research    2012, 36 (3): 27-37.  
    Abstract3815)      PDF (375KB)(4108)       Save
    After summarizing the theories and measurement indices of assimilation,this paper examines and re-constructs the measurement framework of assimilation at individual level,followed by discussing some theoretical questions of assimilation in present China.Assimilation could be one point on the line connecting adaptation,segmented assimilation and assimilation.Measurement indices framework of immigrant assimilation in destination should be simplified with high validity,corresponding to the theories.Assimilation can be divided into five dimensions: economic,cultural,social,structural and identity.Future research should be directed at the final direction of the assimilation of migrants,and the causal chain centered on the assimilation(the status and the causes and consequences of assimilations),and longitudinal or panel survey studies should be enhanced to understand the situation and development trajectory of assimilation of migrants in China.
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    Population Aging,Population Growth and Economic Growth: Evidence from China′s Provincial Panel Data
    Hu Angang,Liu Shenglong,Ma Zhenguo
    Population Research    2012, 36 (3): 14-26.  
    Abstract4350)      PDF (173KB)(4092)       Save
    Using the Solow growth theory and a modified Cobb-Douglas production function which contains human capital,this paper analyzes the impact of population aging and population growth on economic growth.Theoretical analysis shows that both population aging and population growth have negative influence on economic growth.Empirical models on the basis of theoretical analysis are constructed and China′s provincial panel data from 1990-2008 for empirical test are collected.Model results correspond to the results of theoretical analysis.The research also shows that:(1) initial GDP per capita has negative effect on economic growth,indicating conditional convergence in China′s regional economic growth;(2) human capital investment,saving rate and labor force participation rate all have positive influence on economic growth.
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    Population Research    1985, 9 (1): 28-32.  
    Abstract1406)      PDF (2493KB)(4077)       Save
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    Analysis of Induced Abortion of Chinese Women
    Qiao Xiaochun
    Population Research    2002, 26 (3): 16-25.  
    Abstract1065)      PDF (250KB)(4024)       Save
    Estimates of the ratio and rate of induced abortion are made based on the data from annual statistics in the Ministry of Health and the National Population and Reproductive Health Survey conducted by the State Family Planning Commission in 1997, and the causes of the induced abortion are analyzed by using the 1997 survey data as well .It is found that the rate of induced abortion in urban areas was higher than that in rural areas ;the rate undertaken by conceived women who had only girls was lower than that by women who had at least one boy ;induced abortion caused by unwilling pregnancy due to the contraceptive failure was the dominant reason .However, inconsistency with the requirement of family planning was the main cause of the induced abortion in rural areas.
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    Cited: Baidu(26)
    Family Policies in Western Countries and Their Implications for China
    Sheng Yinan, Yang Wenzhang
    Population Research    2012, 36 (4): 45-52.  
    Abstract3724)      PDF (122KB)(3957)       Save
    In achieving universal welfare,early family policies in the Western countries were to reduce family poverty,and to enhance the welfare of their citizens.The Western countries completed the demographic transition in the 1960s to 1970s and family patterns changed dramatically.In order to accomplish their population and development strategy,family policies which oriented to universal welfare covering all citizens gradually changed into ensuring family welfare as well as encouraging population growth.The main policy instruments of the family policies in Western countries include family allowance and family tax reduction,maternity leave,child-raising allowance and job protection,child care facilities and education policy.Learning from policy experiences in Western countries and addressing the requirements of family development capability construction in China′s twelfth five-year plan period,this paper proposes a basic policy approach,that is ’ Ensure the basic needs,extend the coverage to all families,and integrate welfare into population regulation.
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    Cited: Baidu(8)
    Population Research    2010, 34 (2): 34-56.  
    Abstract2243)      PDF (1074KB)(3919)       Save
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    Changes and Challenges of Labour Supply in China in the Context of Population Ageing
    Tong Yufen
    Population Research    2014, 38 (2): 52-60.  
    Abstract2059)      PDF (644KB)(3834)       Save
    China is experiencing an accelerated aging process. Population aging brings not only the changes of the size and proportion of the elderly population but the corresponding changes of the other age groups,especially of the labor-age population group,which has more profound and direct impact on the society and economy. This study uses primarily the United Nations latest population forecasting results to analyze the challenges and possible impacts of aging on labor supplies of the labor market in China. This study shows that although aging would cause a decline in the working-age population,the occurrence of which would be slow before 2030; however,the young labor force would experience a rapid decline. In addition,the aging of the labor force itself,as well as the increasing degree of aging in rural areas call for extra attention,suggesting that it is necessary to prepare relevant policies in advance.
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    Cited: Baidu(19)
    Population Research    2008, 32 (4): 13-21.  
    Abstract1402)      PDF (1390KB)(3831)       Save
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    Estimation of Size and Structure of Chinese Population by the Fifth National Census
    Yu Xuejun
    Population Research    2002, 26 (3): 9-15.  
    Abstract1083)      PDF (198KB)(3812)       Save
    This paper observed contradiction between size and structure of Chinese population based on the information of the fifth national census data issued by the China State Statistical Bureau .Evidences show that the size population aged 0 ~ 14 is underreported, and the estimated Total Fertility Rate is too low to be reliable .The author also analyzes some possible reasons of this phenomenon , and gives some suggestions for adjusting the fertility level .
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    Ability of Daily Life of the Chinese Elderly:Status and Changes
    Du Peng, Wu Chao
    Population Research    2006, 30 (1): 50-56.  
    Abstract2544)      PDF (176KB)(3707)       Save
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    Cited: Baidu(75)
    Population Research    2009, 33 (1): 17-29.  
    Abstract2800)      PDF (228KB)(3675)       Save
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    Population Research    2009, 33 (1): 10-16.  
    Abstract2317)      PDF (113KB)(3644)       Save
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    The Demands of Old-age Care and the Family and Social Resources for the Chinese Elderly: A Study Based on 2014 China Longitudinal Aging Social Survey#br#
    Du Peng,Sun Juanjuan,Zhang Wenjuan,Wang Xuehui
    Population Research    2016, 40 (6): 49-61.  
    Abstract695)      PDF (204KB)(3615)       Save
    Based on 2014 China Longitudinal Aging Social Survey,this paper explores the principal demands of old-age care for the Chinese elderly through analyzing their physical and mental health,economic status,social participation,and expectations for old-age support.This paper further examines old people’s family resources such as their family size,family structure,living arrangements,and children’s situations and their social resources such as social security,medical and health services,facilities,and social services.The results show that 47.53% of the Chinese older people are living in the empty- nest family.12.54% of the elderly need to be cared at different levels.Pension levels still vary considerably among different regions,although the economic independence of the elderly have been improved. Welfares such as the oldest-old allowance and preferential treatment for elderly have progressed remarkably.However,there are big differences between urban and rural areas in terms of the coverage of the old-age care institutions and facilities.
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    Duan Chengrong, Yang Ge, Zhang Fei, Lu Xuehe
    Population Research    2008, 32 (6): 30-43.  
    Abstract2533)      PDF (884KB)(3592)       Save
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    Population Research    2007, 31 (6): 67-75.  
    Abstract1830)      PDF (246KB)(3580)       Save
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    Sixty-years of Population of New China
    Yuan Xin, Wu Cangping, Li Jianmin, Wang Guixin, Gui Shixun
    Population Research    2009, 33 (5): 42-67.  
    Abstract3893)      PDF (862KB)(3579)       Save
    1st October 2009 is the 60th anniversary of the People’s Republic of China.Over the last 60 years,particularly since the reform and opening up,China has completed the historical transition of population reproduction,becoming demographically a developed country.In order to celebrate the achievements of China’s population and demography,this issue of Population and Development Forum has invited some distinguished Chinese demographers to summarize and discuss the major changes and progress that have been made in population and demography in China over the 60 years.Professor Wu Cangping examines the irreplaceable position of demography as a discipline in China.Professor Li Jianmin highlights the unique pattern of China’s demographic transition in the context of changing population policy.Professor Wang Guixin looks at changing patterns of migration in China in the context of socio-economic changes in China.Professor Gui Shixun explores China’s old-age security system in the context of rapid aging in China.Finally Professor Yuan Xin calls for both theoretical and empirical researches on the unprecedented demographic challenges in China now and future.
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    Cited: Baidu(25)