人口研究 ›› 2017, Vol. 41 ›› Issue (1): 98-112.

• 论文 • 上一篇    

中国户籍制度改革对大城市人口迁入的影响——基于2000-2014年城市面板数据的实证分析

杨晓军1   

  1. 中南财经政法大学经济学院
  • 出版日期:2017-01-29 发布日期:2017-04-18
  • 作者简介:杨晓军,中南财经政法大学经济学院副教授。

The Impact of Household Registration System Reform on Population Immigration of Big Cities in China: An Empirical Study Based on Urban Panel Data from 2000 to 2014#br#

Yang Xiaojun2   

  1. School of Economics,Zhongnan University of Eco- nomics and Law.
  • Online:2017-01-29 Published:2017-04-18
  • About author:Yang Xiaojun is Associate Professor,School of Economics,Zhongnan University of Economics and Law.

摘要: 大城市的户籍制度改革通过破除居民特殊身份状态和降低落户门槛,打破原有的城 乡户籍壁垒和行政干预资源配置机制,促进外来人口向大城市的迁入,而大城市准入门槛和落户条件 的设置又反映出城市政府部门对户籍改革取向和进程的控制,仍然发挥着限制人口迁入的作用。运 用中国 123 个大城市 2000 ~2014 年的面板数据,基于全国、城市规模和区域层面实证分析户籍制度 改革各项措施对大城市人口迁入的影响,结果表明: 全国层面,实行统一的居民户口登记管理制度改 革和买房落户或有固定收入的落户政策能有效吸引外来人口迁入大城市; 城市规模层面,200 万人口 以下大城市的户籍制度改革更有利于促进外来人口的迁入; 区域层面,大城市户籍制度改革对人口迁 入的吸引度从东向西呈现依次增强态势。

关键词: 户籍制度, 户籍制度改革, 大城市, 人口迁入

Abstract: One of the major purposes of the household registration system ( Hukou) reform is to promote population migration to the big cities by removing urban-rural Hukou barriers and administra- tive intervention mechanism of resources allocation through abolishing the resident special status and lowering the settlement threshold in the big cities.This paper analyzes the impact of Hukou reform on population migration using urban panel data from 2000 to 2014 from 123 big cities in China both at the national level and by city size and region.The results show that implementation of unified reform of the household registration management system and the house or regular income based settlement policy can attract population migration to the big cities at the national level.At the city level,the Hukou reform has significant positive impact on population migration for cities below 2 million people.At the regional level,an increasingly stronger impact is observed from the eastern to the western region.

Keywords:  Household Registration System, Household Registration System Reform, Big City, Population Immigration