Demographic Transition,Population Dividend,and Sustainability of Economic Growth:Minimum Employment As A Source of Economic Growth

Population Research ›› 2004, Vol. 28 ›› Issue (2): 2-9.

Demographic Transition,Population Dividend,and Sustainability of Economic Growth:Minimum Employment As A Source of Economic Growth

Cai Fang

Institute of Population and Labour Economics,Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Beijing 100732

Online:2004-03-29 Published:2013-01-23
About author:director and professor,Institute of Population and Labour Economics,Chinese Academy of Social Sciences

人口转变、人口红利与经济增长可持续性——兼论充分就业如何促进经济增长

蔡昉

中国社会科学院人口与劳动经济研究所，北京 100732

作者简介:中国社会科学院人口与劳动经济研究所所长、研究员

Abstract

摘要： 本文援引国际经验 ,把人口转变引致的不同人口年龄特征阶段看作是经济增长的一个额外源泉 ,或人口红利 ;论证了通过高储蓄率、充足的劳动力供给和低抚养比 ,中国人口转变对改革以来高速经济增长的贡献 ;揭示了人口红利即将消失的趋势 ,由此提出最大化促进就业是维持人口对经济增长正面效应的关键。

关键词: 人口转变, 人口红利, 趋同, 增长可持续性

Cai Fang. Demographic Transition,Population Dividend,and Sustainability of Economic Growth:Minimum Employment As A Source of Economic Growth[J]. Population Research, 2004, 28(2): 2-9.

蔡昉. 人口转变、人口红利与经济增长可持续性——兼论充分就业如何促进经济增长[J]. 人口研究, 2004, 28(2): 2-9.

Demographic Transition,Population Dividend,and Sustainability of Economic Growth:Minimum Employment As A Source of Economic Growth

人口转变、人口红利与经济增长可持续性——兼论充分就业如何促进经济增长

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