Abstract: Using the 2000 census data, this paper examines patterns of duration of stay and the associated socio-demographic and economic characteristics for the migrant population in Guangdong Province. Logistic regression is used to identify the factors affecting duration of stay for the migrants. The paper concludes with a discussion of the fact that many of the migrants tend to permanently reside in Guangdong, and efforts need to be made in addressing social problems associated with this trend.

Keywords: Migrant population, Household registration system (Hukou), Mobility

摘要： 根据人口普查资料,文章分析了广东省外来人口在居住地的时间分布情况,描述了不同人口属性和不同社会、经济特征的外来人口在居住时间上的差别,并且描述了在居住地出生"外来人口"的一些特征,最后利用Logistic回归对影响外来人口居住时间长短的多种因素做综合分析。在描述分析的基础上,论文最后指出,必须正视大量的外来人口实际上已经转变为长期定居人口的事实,并解决其产生的相关社会问题。

关键词: 外来人口, 户口, 流动性