Distribution and Change of the Ethnic Minority Population in China: A“Hu Line”Perspective

Population Research ›› 2016, Vol. 40 ›› Issue (3): 3-17.

Distribution and Change of the Ethnic Minority Population in China: A“Hu Line”Perspective

Gao Xiangdong¹,Wang Xinxian²,Zhu Beiqian³

1 School of Public Administration,East China Normal University; 2/3 School of Social Development,East China Normal University

Online:2016-05-29 Published:2017-01-12
About author:Gao Xiangdong is Associate Professor，School of Public Administration，East China Nor- mal University; Wang Xinxian is Master Student，School of Social Development，East China Normal Uni- versity; Zhu Beiqian is PhD Student，School of Social Development，East China Normal University．

基于“胡焕庸线”的中国少数民族人口分布及其变动

高向东¹，王新贤²，朱蓓倩³

1 华东师范大学公共管理学院，华东师范大学中国现代城市中心；2/3 华东师范大学人口研究所。上海，200062

作者简介:高向东，华东师范大学公共管理学院、中国现代城市中心教授; 王新贤，华东师范大学人口研究所硕士研究生; 朱蓓倩，华东师范大学人口研究所博士研究生。
基金资助:
国家社科基金重大项目“提高户籍人口城镇化率研究”(编号:15ZDC035);国家社科基金重点项目“新生代农民工市民化研究”(编号:14AZD027);教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目“促进社会融合提升城市化质量的目标与路径研究”(编号:11JJDZH001)的阶段成果

Abstract

Abstract: The “Hu Line”and its demographic implications have attracted world-wide attention since the line was developed 80 years ago．Using GIS，this paper conducts a statistical analysis and systematic investigation on the stability and spatial patterns of China’s minority population growth on both sides of“Hu Line”by constructing the spatial database of China’s census data from 1953 to 2010 and initiating a new method for identifying the spatial patterns of population growth．Major findings are as follows: ( 1) Spatial distribution of the minority population in China is not balanced，showing a signifi- cant spatial clustering; ( 2) The minority population is widely distributed across China，spreading to East China and all over the country; ( 3) The distribution pattern of China’s minority population is characterized by extraordinary stability，with the share ratio of south-east half to north-west half standing roughly at 75: 25 from 1953 to 2010．We can thus say that the“Hu Line”is also a mutant line of China’s minority population．

Keywords: Ethnic Minority Population, Hu Line, Spatial Pattern of Population, Spatial Analysis

摘要： "胡焕庸线"作为中国人口的突变线,从1935年提出至今的80余年里,在国内外引起广泛的关注和深刻的思考。文章从民族人口的视角出发,收集和整理1953~2010年期间六次全国人口普查的县级资料,运用Arc GIS、Geo Data的空间分析技术,对"胡焕庸线"两侧的民族人口分布状况、变动趋势进行统计和分析。结果表明:中国少数民族人口空间分布不均衡,具有显著的空间集聚性,少数民族人口在传统分布区形成多个热点分布区域;中国少数民族人口分布广泛,民族人口向东部地区乃至全国范围迁移扩散的态势显著;中国少数民族人口分布格局具有非凡的稳定性。从1953~2010年东南半壁和西北半壁少数民族人口75∶25的比重一直相对稳定,可以说"胡焕庸线"也是中国少数民族人口的突变线。

关键词: 民族人口, 胡焕庸线, 人口空间格局, 空间分析

Gao Xiangdong, Wang Xinxian, Zhu Beiqian. Distribution and Change of the Ethnic Minority Population in China: A“Hu Line”Perspective[J]. Population Research, 2016, 40(3): 3-17.

高向东，王新贤，朱蓓倩. 基于“胡焕庸线”的中国少数民族人口分布及其变动[J]. 人口研究, 2016, 40(3): 3-17.

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