Abstract: This article reviews international literature on the changing trends of population migration and mobility and their mechanisms from the following perspectives: the changing trends of different forms of population mobility，the international comparison of the overall intensity of China’s internal mi- gration，the micro life course of population migration and mobility，and the mechanism and recent evolution of circular migration．The authors derive the following views on the future trends of China’s population migration and mobility from the above review and its implications: First，the recent decreasing trends of regional and rural-urban migration in China indicate changes in the forms of China’s population mobility rather than a real decline of its overall volume and intensity，which will still be on the rise; Second，great attention still needs to be paid to the portable issues of various public services provided to the floating population; and third，the management of and services to the floating population need to be improved in accordance with the changes in the forms of population mobility，especially the rise of urban to urban and intra-urban migration and mobility．

Keywords: Forms of Population Mobility, Volume and Intensity, Rural-Urban Migration and Mobility, Urban-Urban Migration and Mobility, Intra-Urban Migration and Mobility

摘要： 文章从人口迁移流动的不同形式及其演变趋势、中国国内人口迁移整体强度的国际对比、人口迁移流动的微观生命过程、以及人口循环流动的发生发展机制和近期演变等4个方面回顾了国际上对人口迁移流动演变趋势及其机制的相关研究,并根据从中获得的借鉴和启示对中国人口迁移流动的未来走势做出判断,认为目前我国人口在区域和乡城间迁移流动的减缓更多预示的是人口迁移流动形式的改变,而不是其整体规模和强度的下降,后者还有着相当大的上升空间;今后仍不可忽视针对迁移流动人口的各种公共服务的转移、接续问题,并要根据人口迁移流动形式的变化,尤其是人口在城市间和城市内部迁移流动上升的新形势,与时俱进地改进流动人口的管理和服务工作。

关键词: 人口迁移流动形式, 规模和强度, 乡—城迁移流动, 城—城迁移流动, 城市内部迁移流动