Population Research ›› 2018, Vol. 42 ›› Issue (4): 14-26.

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Patterns and Determinants of Migrant Unemployment in China: An Analysis of Data of 2015 National One-Percent Population Sample Survey

Yang Fan, Du Shanshan and Tao Tao   

  1. Yang Fan is Associate Professor, Center for Population and Development Studies, Renmin University of China, Email:yangfand@163.com; Du Shanshan is Graduate Student, Shool of Sociology and Population Studies,Renmin University of China; Tao Tao is Associate Professor, Center for Population and Development Studies, Renmin University of China, Email:taotao@nsrcruc.org.
  • Online:2018-07-29 Published:2018-11-01
  • Contact: Tao Tao is Associate Professor, Center for Population and Development Studies, Renmin University of China, Email:taotao@nsrcruc.org.
  • About author:Yang Fan is Associate Professor, Center for Population and Development Studies, Renmin University of China, Email:yangfand@163.com; Du Shanshan is Graduate Student, Shool of Sociology and Population Studies,Renmin University of China; Tao Tao is Associate Professor, Center for Population and Development Studies, Renmin University of China, Email:taotao@nsrcruc.org.

中国流动人口失业状况及其影响因素

杨凡,杜姗姗,陶涛   

  1. 杨凡,中国人民大学人口与发展研究中心副教授;杜姗姗,中国人民大学社会与人口学院硕士研究生;陶涛(通讯作者),中国人民大学人口与发展研究中心副教授。北京:100872
  • 通讯作者: 陶涛(通讯作者),中国人民大学人口与发展研究中心副教授。北京:100872
  • 作者简介:杨凡,中国人民大学人口与发展研究中心副教授;杜姗姗,中国人民大学社会与人口学院硕士研究生;陶涛(通讯作者),中国人民大学人口与发展研究中心副教授。北京:100872
  • 基金资助:
    本文为中国人民大学科学研究基金(中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助)“流动人口非正规就业状况研究”(17XNB013)项目成果

Abstract: As the floating population grows rapidly and China's economic development enters the new normal,unemployment of the floating population has gradually aroused public concern.Based on the research framework of the push-pull theory of migration,this study examines the unemployment situation of the floating population in China using the data of the 1% sample survey of the national population in 2015.Logistic regression model is used to study the factors affecting the unemployment risk of the floating population.A growing trend of unemployment of the floating population has been observed.The unemployment rate of the floating population reached 4.9% in 2015.In addition to individual characteristics,factors related to the place of origin and destination,and the migration process also significantly affect the unemployment risk of the floating population.Therefore,policies addressing the issue of unemployment of the floating population need to incorporate migration policy with employment policy,improve availability of diversified jobs for the floating population,and enhance their capacity in job mobility across industries and occupations.

Keywords: Unemployment , Floating Population,  , The Push and Pull Theory

摘要: 随着流动人口的迅速增长和经济发展进入新常态,流动人口的失业问题逐渐引起公众的关注。文章以迁移的推拉理论为研究框架,利用2015年全国1%人口抽样调查数据,对全国流动人口的失业状况进行了描述,并运用Logistic回归模型对影响流动人口失业状况的因素进行了研究。结果表明,流动人口的失业问题已经逐渐显现出来,而且有持续增长的趋势,2015年流动人口的失业率已经达到了4.9%。除了个人特征以外,与流入地、流出地和流动过程相关的因素都会显著地影响流动人口的失业风险。因此,要重视流动人口的失业问题,将流动政策与就业政策进行通盘考虑,为流动人口提供多样化的工作岗位,提高他们的行业和职业转换能力。

关键词: 失业 , 流动人口 , 推拉理论