Population Research ›› 2020, Vol. 44 ›› Issue (2): 44-59.

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Effects of Education on Marital Status of Chinese Elderly: An Empirical Study Based on Three-wave CLASS Data

Song Jian1,Liu Zhiqiang2   

  1. Song Jian1, Center for Population and Development Studies, Renmin University of China; Liu Zhiqiang2, School of Sociology and Population Studies, Renmin University of China.
  • Online:2020-03-29 Published:2020-04-05
  • About author:Song Jian is Professor, Center for Population and Development Studies, Renmin University of China; Liu Zhiqiang is PhD Candidate, School of Sociology and Population Studies, Renmin University of China.

中国老年人的婚姻状况与教育的影响

宋健1,刘志强2   

  1. 宋健1,中国人民大学人口与发展研究中心;刘志强2,中国人民大学社会与人口学院。
  • 作者简介:宋健,中国人民大学人口与发展研究中心教授;刘志强,中国人民大学社会与人口学院博士研究生。
  • 基金资助:
    本文是教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目“中国家庭转变研究”(16JJD840013)和国家自然科学基金重大项目“特征、规律与前景——老龄社会的人口学基础研究”(71490731)的阶段性成果。

Abstract: Marital status is closely related to living arrangements and life quality of the older people, but its determinants have received limited attention. This paper analyzes the effect of education on the marital status of Chinese elderly based on the three-wave CLASS data collected in 2014, 2016 and 2018. The results indicate that education has a significant positive impact: older adults with higher educational attainment are more likely to be currently married.  The total effect of education can be decomposed into explicit and implicit effects. By using mediating effect test method, the KHB method and by calculating the mediating zstatistic, this study finds that education affects marital status partly through income and pension. In addition, the analysis shows that the effect of education on the marital status of the elderly is moderated by gender, residence and age.

Keywords: Chinese Elderly, Marital Status, Educational Attainment, CLASS(Chinese Longitudinal Aging Social Survey)

摘要: 婚姻状况与老年人的生活方式和生活质量关系紧密,但迄今关于老年人婚姻状况影响因素的研究还较为缺乏。利用2014、2016和2018年三期中国老年社会追踪调查(CLASS)数据,分析中国老年人的婚姻状况与教育的影响。研究发现:教育对老年人的婚姻状况存在显著的正向影响,较高的受教育程度显著提升了老年人的有偶可能性,且这一影响无论对混合截面数据还是对不同时期数据,都显著存在;教育对老年人婚姻状况的综合影响呈现为外显的和隐含的两个部分,通过使用中介效应检验法、Zmediation统计量法和KHB效应分解法发现,收入和养老保险因素中显著存在教育的隐含影响;教育对老年人婚姻状况的影响受到性别、城乡和年龄变量的调节作用。

关键词: 老年人, 婚姻状况, 受教育程度, 中国老年社会追踪调查(CLASS)