Abstract: Using the Global Bilateral Migration Database and the International Migration Stock Database, this paper examines the changing trends of international migration from China's neighboring countries between 1960 and 2020. It also explores the situation of migrants from neighboring countries to China and their future trends. In the past 60 years, both the stock of migrants from neighboring countries and the stock of neighboring countries' migrants to China decreased first and then increased. Meanwhile, the destinations of migrants from neighboring countries began to shift to Europe, America, and the Gulf countries, with differences existing among neighboring countries. During this period, although migrants from neighboring countries occupied an important position among all migrants in China, most migrants from neighboring countries did not migrate to mainland China. Considering China's future development prospects, it can be expected that China will face a larger scale of migrants from neighboring countries. Currently, adequate preparations are needed in academic research and policy-making.

Keywords: International Migration, Neighboring Countries' Migrants, International Migration Stock, International Migration Destination

摘要： 利用世界银行全球双边迁移数据库和联合国全球移民存量数据库，对1960~2020年中国周边邻国国际移民的变化趋势进行分析，同时关注邻国国际移民的来华情况，并对其未来趋势进行预判。研究发现，60年间，中国邻国国际移民存量与邻国来华移民存量均呈现先减后增的阶段性变化特征。与此同时，中国邻国国际移民的目的地逐渐向欧美与海湾地区转移，不同邻国国际移民的目的地分布存在差异。在此期间，尽管邻国来华移民在全部在华国际移民中占据重要地位，但绝大多数邻国国际移民并未将中国大陆视为其主要目的地。结合中国未来发展前景与"一带一路"倡议等战略安排，可以预见中国今后将迎接更大规模的邻国国际移民。当前，需要在学术研究与相关政策制定等方面做好充分准备。

关键词: 国际人口迁移, 邻国国际移民, 移民存量, 移民目的地