Abstract: Various problems related to migrant or left-behind children are largely associated with family patterns and children’s living arrangement.Using data from a 2006 survey of migrant workers in Pearl River Delta,this paper explores determinants of migration probability of children of migrant workers.Results show that being migrant or being left-behind is significantly associated with children’s age,rural social support,migration distance and living status of their parents in the cities.The decision of being migrant or being left-behind is a rationale choice of children’s parents,which is also determined by institutions at the national and local level.Consistent with the "pull-push" theory of migration,migration of children of migrant workers is an outcome of the combination of the pulling factors at rural areas and the pushing factors at the urban areas,while also being a trade-off decision of their parents.

Keywords:  Peasant Workers, Migrant Children, Left-behind Children, Generational Reproduction

摘要： 日常生活中的家庭结构及其与父母的居住模式是流动和留守儿童各种问题的根源。本文利用2006年的"珠三角"农民工抽样调查原始数据,从农民工子女流动或留守的两种生存状况出发,探索了决定这两种生存状态的各种因素。结果发现,农民工子女的流动与否在很大程度上受制于自己的年龄、农村社会支持、迁移距离和父(母)在城市生存状态,他们的流动与否不仅是作为农民工父(母)理性选择的结果,还与国家、地方、生产等方面的制度有关。也就是说,与人口迁移中"推拉理论"的论述一样,农民工子女的流动与否也是由农村社会和城市社会各自的推拉合力作用的结果,也是作为父母的农民工经过利弊权衡后的理性选择结果。

关键词: 农民工, 流动儿童, 留守儿童, 代际再生产