Abstract: This paper uses the 7th census data to investigate influencing factors and spatial heterogeneity of China's interprovincial migration destinations from 2015 to 2020. The results show that recent changes in the macroeconomic environment and the New-type Urbanization Plan have attracted migrants to move back to the less developed provinces in central and western China. Meanwhile, the difference in regional economic development has narrowed. Therefore, the destination for interprovincial migration is decentralized. Economic factors such as the urban-rural income gap are still the most important factors affecting migration choice, while their influences have weakened significantly. Spatial factors have also been less important due to better traffic conditions. Migrants tend to move to places with good humanistic and social environments. There is also spatial heterogeneity in the influencing factors on interprovincial migration destinations.

摘要： 利用第七次全国人口普查数据，考察2015~2020年中国省际人口迁移目的地选择的影响因素及其省际差异。研究发现，近年来转变经济增长方式、实施新型城镇化战略等宏观发展环境的巨大变化，造成中西部经济欠发达地区主要人口迁出省份昔日东迁人口“逆势”回迁；区域经济发展差异缩小，导致省际人口迁移目的地选择呈分散化及其区域分布的均衡化。分析其影响因素显示，城乡收入差距等经济因素仍是影响省际人口迁移目的地选择的最主要因素，但其作用已显弱化；空间因素的作用也随着交通条件的改善出现减小趋势；开放度等良好的市场化及人文社会环境已对迁移人口选择目的地表现出一定的影响力。各因素对省际人口迁移目的地选择的影响存在明显省际差异。

关键词: 省际人口迁移, 目的地选择, 省际差异