Population Research ›› 2026, Vol. 50 ›› Issue (1): 104-120.

• Constructing China's Independent Knowledge System of Demography: China's Approach to Population Governance • Previous Articles     Next Articles

China's Proactive Response System to Population Ageing: Theoretical Foundations, Evolutionary Trajectory, and Strategic Implications

Zhou Xuexin, Wu Bo, Zhu Wenyan   

  • Published:2026-01-29 Online:2026-01-29
  • About Author:Zhou Xuexin is Professor, Chongqing Normal University;Wu Bo is Associate Professor, Institute of Economic Management, Party School of Chongqing Committee of C.P.C (Chongqing Academy of Governance);Zhu Wenyan is Master Student, Graduate Department, Party School of Chongqing Committee of C.P.C (Chongqing Academy of Governance). Email:xxzhou@vip.sina.com

中国积极应对人口老龄化制度:理论基础、演进历程及战略启示

周学馨, 吴波, 朱文艳   

  • 作者简介:周学馨,重庆师范大学教授;吴波,中共重庆市委党校(重庆行政学院)经济管理教研部副教授;朱文艳,中共重庆市委党校(重庆行政学院)研究生部硕士研究生。电子邮箱:xxzhou@vip.sina.com
  • 基金资助:
    本文为2024年度重庆市哲学社会科学创新工程研究项目“重庆健全人口发展支持和服务体系研究”(2025CXZD24)的阶段性成果。

Abstract: Population ageing is an objective trend in human development, a global issue, and a fundamental national condition for China in the coming long term. Proactively addressing population ageing constitutes China's action plan to meet the challenges of an ageing society, with vital implications for sustainable national economic and social development as well as the improvement of people's wellbeing. Strengthening institutional development is a key initiative in China's active response to population ageing and an essential pillar for implementing the corresponding national strategy. Hence, during this critical period of executing the national strategy on active ageing and advancing Chinese modernization supported by high-quality population development, this paper—based on institutional adaptation theory and the concept of active ageing, and considering the systematic, long-term, adaptive and dynamic dimensions of institution building—innovatively constructs an institutional framework for proactively addressing population ageing. Centered on three core elements, namely “health support,” “social participation,” and “social security,” the framework lays a theoretical foundation for the strategic goals set forth in the National Medium- and Long-Term Plan for Proactively Addressing Population Ageing (2019), which aims to initially establish an institutional framework by 2022, develop more scientific and effective institutional arrangements by 2035, and achieve mature and complete institutional arrangements compatible with a modern socialist power by the mid-21st century.

Moreover, this paper examines the evolution of China's institutional system for proactively addressing population ageing from three dimensions: types of institutional tools, composition of governance actors, and paradigms of institutional objectives. The study finds that the content of these institutions has expanded from basic livelihood security to comprehensive multi-domain governance, while Institutional arrangements have progressed from initial basic living safeguards to lifecycle-spanning strategic responses. This evolution reflects a shift from “reactive coping” to “proactive governance,” from “unilateral governance” to “collaborative governance,” and from “ensuring survival” to “promoting comprehensive development”—a process characterised by “adapting institutions to demographic changes.” Such an evolutionary pathway offers instructive insights for enriching and improving the institutional system of the national strategy during the 15th Five-Year Plan period and beyond.

Looking ahead, implementing the national strategy for proactively addressing population ageing should build on the established institutional framework. It will be essential to strengthen institutional guarantees through legislation, gradually advancing specialised laws for the elderly population. Institutional systematicity should be reinforced to enhance the system's capacity for dynamic response, systemic coordination, and long-term provision. Innovation in institutional implementation mechanisms is needed to improve resilience to demographic transition, economic development, and social transformations. Digital and intelligent reforms in institutions should be promoted to elevate the scientific accuracy of institutional supply. Through these measures, the adaptability of institutional design, the efficiency of institutional operation, and the feasibility of institutional safeguards can be steadily improved.

Keywords: Institutional Adaptation Theory, Active Ageing, National Strategy for Proactively Addressing Population Ageing, Institutional Change

摘要: 制度建设是中国积极应对人口老龄化的重要举措,是实施积极应对人口老龄化国家战略的重要支撑。本文基于制度适应理论和积极老龄化理念,探索构建了以“健康支持”“社会参与”“社会保障”为核心内容的积极应对人口老龄化制度框架。基于此,本文从制度工具类型、治理主体构成和制度目标范式3个维度分析了中国积极应对人口老龄化制度的演进历程,发现其呈现出从“被动应对”到“主动治理”、从“单一治理”到“协同治理”、从“保障生存”到“全面发展”的演进逻辑。这种“以制度变革适应人口”的制度演进历程,启示制度建设要加强制度法治保障、强化制度体系化建设、创新制度实现机制和推动制度数智化改革,不断提升制度设计的适应性、制度运行的高效性和制度保障的可行性。

关键词: 制度适应理论, 积极老龄化, 积极应对人口老龄化国家战略, 制度变迁