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The Existence of Population Cushion in International Industrial Division and Its Implications for China
Wang Jinying, Zhang Jin
Population Research    2025, 49 (2): 32-49.  
Abstract445)      PDF (1315KB)(114)       Save
Based on previous literature, this study elucidates the influence of population size on international industrial division and its mechanisms. Drawing on data from the World Bank and the World Trade Organization, this study further examines the impact of population size on countries' or regions' participation in the international industrial division. The results show that population size significantly promotes participation, dependence, and competitiveness in international industrial division, indicating a “room for maneuver” of population size. Countries or regions with larger populations are less dependent on the international industrial division and exhibit stronger competitiveness, while smaller countries or regions are more reliant on the international industrial division. In face of the long-term population decline, China should leverage its vast population and territory to capitalize on the room for maneuver in population size. Deepening domestic industrial division, enhancing productivity, and maintaining a complete industrial system could help improve participation and competitiveness in international industrial division, thereby promoting high-quality economic development.
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De-standardisation Patterns and Gender Differences of Elderly’s Retirement Trajectories in Urban China:A Life Course Approach
Song Yueping, Zhang Guangying, Zhang Jingwen
Population Research    2023, 47 (1): 87-100.  
Abstract1216)      PDF (12104KB)(286)       Save
In the context of population ageing and economic transformation, it is important to have a better understanding of the retirement process of urban workers to improve employment and retirement policies for the elderly. The present study proposes that the process of retirement should be seen as a continuous trajectory, and population heterogeneity and macro-socioeconomic background should be fully considered. Drawing data from the Life History Survey Questionnaire of 2014 China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study, we apply sequence analysis and identify 5 typical retirement trajectories of male elderly (retiring at age 60, retiring at age 55, early retirement, informal employment and long-time unemployment) and 4 typical retirement trajectories of female elderly (retiring before age 50, retiring at age 55, long-time unemployment and informal employment). By comparing the differences in the discrepancy of the retirement trajectories between generations, we find that the labour exit trajectories of older people show a significant trend of de-standardisation during the economic transition period of China. Notably, the pattern of de-standardisation differs between genders, with women showing a higher degree of de-standardisation, while men showing more rapidly increases of de-standardisation over generations.
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Parity,Timing of Birth,and Fertility: A Comparative Study on the Trends and Differential Mechanism of the Mean Age at Childbearing in China,Japan,and Korea
Song Jian,Zhang Jingwen
Population Research    2017, 41 (3): 3-14.  
Abstract1086)      PDF (172KB)(3967)       Save
Using fertility data from national authorities and national censuses of China,Japan,and South Korea,this study analyzes the levels and trends of mean age at childbearing ( MAC) of the three countries from 1990 to 2015. After isolating the effects of parity composition and childbearing schedule respectively by decomposition technique,the article examines quantitatively the mechanism that underlies dynamic changes and cross-national differences of MACs. Results indicate that the MAC of China experienced a decrease between 1990 and 1995,followed by a sustaining growth afterwards. The increase of MAC in China is driven by the postponement of childbearing and the changes of parity composition, with the former playing a larger role. The inherent mechanism since 2010 deserves special attention. Compared with Japan and Korea,China still has relatively lower overall and parity-specific MACs. Although all of the three countries have witnessed an increase of MAC during the past 25 years, they demonstrate different patterns in terms of the roles of parity composition and birth timing. The accuracy of MAC in identifying the timing of period fertility and the policy implications of timing on upturning fertility level are discussed.
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Fertility Behavior of Migrant Women in Shenzhen City: An Analysis Using Structural Equation Models
Lu Jiehua, Fu Conghui, Zhang Jinhui, Ceng Xuchun
Population Research    2005, 29 (2): 25-33.  
Abstract1814)      PDF (200KB)(3039)       Save
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