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College Expansion and Transition of Fertility Pattern:The Case of Hebei Province
Liang Qiusheng, Tian Ji, Ji Haijing
Population Research
2013, 37 (2):
41-53.
The 20 10 population census shows that Hebei ’s fertility pattern is undergoing transition from “Fewer and Early Childbearing ”to “Fewer and Late childbearing ”. Results from both qualitative and quan- titative analysis show that the college expansion policy that has been carried out in China since 1999 is one of the major forces reshaping fertility pattern in Hebei. 34 . 7 % of the total range of the pattern change results from college expansion. From 2000 to 20 10 ,as a result of the college expansion ,the mean age of fertility has increased by 0 . 3 year ,the annual births have decreased by more than 60 thousand and total fertility rate has dropped by 0 . 1 in Hebei Province. More pronounced effect of the college expansion on fertility pattern would be expected in the next ten years
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