人口研究 ›› 2018, Vol. 42 ›› Issue (1): 90-103.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

不生的矛盾—— —家庭资源文化价值还是子女性别?

穆滢潭1原 新2#br#   

  1. 穆滢潭,西南财经大学保险学院讲师;原新,南开大学经济学院教授士生导师
  • 出版日期:2018-01-29 发布日期:2018-04-13
  • 作者简介:穆滢潭,西南财经大学保险学院讲师;原新,南开大学经济学院教授、博士生导师。
  • 基金资助:
    本文得到国家社会科学基金青年项目:老年家庭照料与正式照料的替代关系研究(项目号:17CRK001)的资助

Having the Second Child:Family Resources,Cultural Values or Child Gender?

Mu Yingtan 1Yuan Xin2#br#   

  1. Mu Yingtan is Assistant Professor,Insurance College,Southwestern University of Finance and Economics. Yuan Xin is Professor,School of Economics,Nankai University
  • Online:2018-01-29 Published:2018-04-13
  • About author:Mu Yingtan is Assistant Professor,Insurance College,Southwestern University of Finance and Economics. Yuan Xin is Professor,School of Economics,Nankai University

摘要: 文章利用 2016 年浙江省宁波市生育决策调查数据,考察家庭资源文化规范和第一个子女性别对女性二孩生育决策的影响研究发现,已生育一孩的育龄妇女中表示打算生育二孩的比例约为 20%,且二孩生育意愿存在户籍差异;女性的二孩生育决策同时受到家庭资源和文化规范的双重约束,综合考虑现有子女是否能够满足其男孩偏好子女对于自身的成本效用以及可供家庭分配的资源状况等因素决定是否生育二孩;女性的再生育决策模式存在户籍差异,其中城镇育龄妇女的男孩偏好程度较低,倾向于根据家庭资源状况进行二孩生育决策,具有理性决策的特征,但流动和农村女性的再生育决策表现出明显的价值取向,子女效用男孩偏好等因素对其生育决策的影响较大。

关键词: 家庭资源, 成本&mdash, 效用, 男孩偏好, 子女性别, 生育决策

Abstract: Using the 2016 survey data of fertility decision making collected in Ningbo City,Zhejiang Province,this paper examines the effects of family resources,cultural norms,and gender of the first child on fertility decision making of the second child. Results show that fertility decision making of the second child is constrained by both family resources and cultural norms. About 20% of the women with one child want to have the second child. However,the second child fertility decision-making model is complicated. Women‘’s decision is heavily influenced by whether the existing child can meet their son preference,the
cost-utility of child,and family resources. In addition,the decision-making model varies by household registration. Urban women have relatively low preference for boys,and their decision is primarily determined by family resources. Therefore,their second child fertility decision is more rational. In contrast,migrating and rural women??s fertility decision-making of the second child is characterized by value orientation.Children‘’s utility and boy preference have a greater impact on their fertility decision-making.