人口研究 ›› 2022, Vol. 46 ›› Issue (3): 16-29.

• 生育研究 • 上一篇    下一篇

上网为什么会影响个人生育意愿?

陈卫民1,万佳乐2,李超伟3   

  1. 陈卫民1,南开大学人口与发展研究所教授;万佳乐2(通讯作者),南开大学人口与发展研究所博士研究生;李超伟3,南京农业大学金融学院博士研究生。
  • 出版日期:2022-05-29 发布日期:2022-06-07
  • 作者简介:陈卫民,南开大学人口与发展研究所教授;万佳乐(通讯作者),南开大学人口与发展研究所博士研究生;李超伟,南京农业大学金融学院博士研究生。
  • 基金资助:
    本文是南开大学亚洲研究中心课题“低生育率陷阱的形成机制:基于东亚经验的研究”(AS2118)的阶段性成果。

Why Does Internet Use Affect Fertility Intentions?

Chen Weimin1,Wan Jiale2,Li Chaowei3   

  1. Chen Weimin 1,Institute of Population and Development, Nankai University; Wan Jiale2(Corresponding Author), Institute of Population and Development, Nankai University; Li Chaowei3 , School of Finance, Nanjing Agricultural University.
  • Online:2022-05-29 Published:2022-06-07
  • About author:Chen Weimin ,Institute of Population and Development, Nankai University; Wan Jiale(Corresponding Author), Institute of Population and Development, Nankai University; Li Chaowei , School of Finance, Nanjing Agricultural University.

摘要: 利用2017年中国综合社会调查(CGSS2017)数据实证分析发现,上网整体上会降低个人生育意愿,对生育多少的意愿的影响大于对要不要生育的意愿的影响。上网影响个人生育意愿存在两种机制:一是增加生育焦虑,促进个人生育观念改变;二是刺激个人消费,挤压可用于生育养育孩子的经济预算。进一步分析发现,不同目的的上网行为对个人生育意愿的影响存在差异,以学习、工作、社交为目的的上网对个人生育意愿没有显著影响,但以娱乐和购物消费为目的的上网会显著降低个人生育意愿;与上网不同,报纸、杂志、电视、手机定制消息等传统媒介的使用对个人生育意愿没有显著影响。为防范上网对个人生育意愿的负面影响,需要加强网络信息监管,合理引导网络消费,帮助个人树立积极的生育观和正确的消费观。

关键词: 上网, 生育意愿, 生育观念, 网络消费

Abstract: Based on CGSS2017 data, this paper examines the effects of surfing the internet on fertility intentions. The results show that surfing the internet will reduce individuals fertility intentions. The effects on the intended number of children are greater than that on whether to have children. There are two mechanisms for these effects. One is increasing anxiety about childbirth and thus changing the individuals attitudes towards giving birth. The other is raising personal consumption which squeezes the economic budget for childbearing and childrearing. The effects of internet use on fertility intentions vary across different purposes for getting online. Using the internet for study, work or social contact has no significant effects on individuals fertility intentions, while using the internet for shopping or entertainment significantly reduces fertility intentions. Other conventional media usage, such as newspapers, magazines, television, and mobile phone message has no significant influence. To prevent the negative impact of internet usage on fertility intentions, it is necessary to strengthen the supervision of network information, reasonably guide online consumption, and help individuals to establish a positive attitude towards fertility and consumption.