人口研究 ›› 2025, Vol. 49 ›› Issue (5): 70-84.

• 老龄问题研究 • 上一篇    下一篇

中国老年人数字失能现状及演化机制

王武林, 张奇   

  • 出版日期:2025-09-29 发布日期:2025-09-29
  • 作者简介:王武林,贵州财经大学公共管理学院、人口与发展研究院教授;张奇(通讯作者),贵州财经大学公共管理学院博士研究生。电子邮箱:986317439@qq.com
  • 基金资助:
    本研究得到国家社会科学基金青年项目“西部贫困地区农村留守老人信教状况与关爱服务体系研究”(14CSH057)和贵州财经大学2025年度在校学生科研项目资助项目“智慧养老服务的悬浮化困境与破解路径研究”(2025BAZYSY073)的支持。

Current Situation and Evolution Mechanism of Digital Disability among the Older Adults in China

Wang Wulin, Zhang Qi   

  • Published:2025-09-29 Online:2025-09-29
  • About Author:Wang Wulin is Professor, College of Public Administration, Institute for Population and Development Research, Guizhou University of Finance and Economics; Zhang Qi (Corresponding Author) is PhD Candidate, College of Public Administration, Guizhou University of Finance and Economics. Email:986317439@qq.com

摘要:数字失能已成为老龄社会治理的重要议题,研究数字失能对揭示老年人内部数字差距、促进老年人共享数字红利具有重要意义。结合生理失能、数字鸿沟等理论,构建基于“情景-路径”框架的数字失能过程模型及其测量指标体系,借助2020年中国老年社会追踪调查(CLASS)数据,实证分析老年人数字失能现状及演化机制。研究发现:一方面,中国老年人整体数字失能程度较高且失能群体内部异质性较强,具体表现为认知型病理最突出、数字创作能力最残损、社会功能限制最严重;另一方面,数字失能呈现非线性的三阶段演化路径,主体、客体和环境等情景性因素对演化进程发挥强化或缓解效应,其中主体因素的调节能力最强。鉴于此,应加强情景调节、路径干预,分阶段精准施策,破解“主体-客体-环境”的劣性耦合。

关键词: 老年人, 数字鸿沟, 数字失能过程模型, “情景-路径”框架

Abstract: Digital disability has become a critical issue in the governance of ageing societies. Research on digital disability is of great significance for revealing the digital divide among older adults and promoting their sharing of digital dividends. Drawing on theories such as physical disability and the digital divide, this study constructs a process model of digital disability based on a “situation-path” framework, along with a corresponding measurement index system. Using data from the 2020 China Longitudinal Aging Social Survey (CLASS), we empirically analyze the current situation and evolution mechanism of digital disability among older adults in China. The findings reveal two main aspects: On one hand, older adults in China generally exhibit a high level of digital disability, with strong heterogeneity within the disabled group. Specifically, cognitive impairment is the most prominent, digital creation ability is the most impaired, and social functional limitations are the most severe. On the other hand, digital disability follows a nonlinear three-stage evolutionary pathway, in which contextual factors (including subjective, objective, and environmental factors) exert either reinforcing or mitigating effects on the evolution process. Among these, subjective factors demonstrate the strongest moderating effect. In light of these findings, it is essential to strengthen contextual regulation and pathway-based interventions, implement targeted policies according to each developmental stage, and break the adverse coupling among subjective, objective, and environmental factors.

Keywords: Older Adults, Digital Divide, The Process Model of Digital Disability, “Situation-Path” Framework