从21世纪上半叶我国人口变动趋势看稳定低生育水平的重要性和艰巨性

于学军，杨书章

The Importance and Arduousness of Stabilizing China’s Low Fertility as Looked from Its Population Trends in the First Half of the 21st Century

Yu xuejun, Yang shuzhang

人口研究 . 2000, (2): 1 -8 .