Abstract: Using data of Chinese censuses in 1982,1990,2000 and 1% sample survey in 1987 and 2005,this paper analyses the distribution trends of floating population in China at region,province,and city levels.Distribution of floating population presents obvious central tendency.From regional perspective,the floating population increasingly concentrated in the eastern region,the eastern and southern coastal areas.From provincial perspective,floating population increasingly concentrated in few provinces.The first five largest migration destination provinces absorbed half of the country’s floating population.From city perspective,floating population increasingly concentrated in a few cities,showing outstanding polarization.In the early 21st century,there is an emerging city band comprising 35 coastal cities,absorbing more than half of the floating population in China.Distribution concentration trend of the floating population will continue,which constitutes the prerequisite for policy making regarding the floating population.

Keywords: Floating Population, Destination Distribution, Index of Concentration

摘要： 利用1982年以来的历次全国人口普查和1%人口抽样调查的数据,本文从区域、省份、城市等层面分析了流动人口流入地分布的变动趋势。流动人口的流入地分布呈现明显的集中趋势。从区域层面来说,流动人口越来越向东部地区集中,越来越向东部和南部沿海地区集中;从省级层面来说,流动人口越来越集中流向少数省份,前5个流动人口最多的省(市、区)吸纳了全国一半的流动人口;从城市层面来说,流动人口越来越集中流向少数城市,表现出突出的极化现象;进入新世纪以来,我国正在形成一个由35个左右城市构成的沿海城市带,它们吸收了全国半数以上的流动人口。流动人口流入地分布的这种集中趋势将会继续保持下去,此乃制定与流动人口相关政策和制度的基本出发点和前提。

关键词: 流动人口, 流入地分布, 集中指数