Abstract: Objective Using data from a sampling survey of rural families in Hubei Province in Central China,this paper analyzes the factors influencing migrants′ decision making on their return migration.Two types of empirical models are performed to test the determinants of return migration decision of the new generation of migrants and the children of householder.Results indicate that rural labour migration is a rational choice of decision taking into account of a variety of factors including family endowment Effect,which is more apparent for the new generation of migrant workers.Family′s economic capital tends to impede return migration.The probability of return migration initially increases with accumulation of human capital and natural capital,but turns downwards after reaching a certain level.Members from families having abundant human capital can more fully and effectively use their social capital.Differences exist in utilizing social capital and natural capital between the first and the new generation of migrants.

Keywords: Rural China, Family Endowment, Return Migration, New Generation, The Children of Householder

摘要： 中国农村地区家庭禀赋对个人的行为决策有着重要的影响,需要学术界予以更多的关注。为了考察外生性的家庭禀赋对劳动力就业流动的影响,文章通过构建新生代外出务工劳动力和户主子女的回流决策两个计量模型来进行经验论证。分析结果表明,农村劳动力的迁移选择是综合考虑家庭禀赋状况的理性决策,尤其是对于年轻一代的外出劳动力。家庭经济资本的增加会阻碍家庭外出务工成员的回流。外出劳动力回流的概率起初随着家庭人力资本和家庭自然资本的增长而上升,达到一定程度后开始下降。家庭成员只有拥有较为丰富的人力资本,外出务工劳动力才能对家庭社会资本加以充分利用。另外,分析显示年轻一代劳动力和第一代劳动力对家庭社会资本和自然资本的利用是有差异的。

关键词: 农村地区, 家庭禀赋, 劳动力回流, 新生代, 户主子女