Abstract: How do Chinese elderly perceive their children‘s filial piety in the context of rapidly ageing population and changing families in the first decade of 21st century? What are the factors affecting their perceptions? This paper aims to answer these questions by analyzing the data of China National Survey on Urban and Rural Elderly in 2000 and 2010 conducted by China Research Centre on Ageing． Results show that the proportion of the older people who perceive their children to be filial increased between 2000-2010． Similar trends are observed both over time and across cohort． The major determinants for the older parents perceiving their children's filial piety are children's filial behaviors and parents’ health status． Contrary to the traditional values such as "more children more happiness" and " raising children to protect against the old age"，an important finding from this research is that the elderly people having daughters and fewer children give more positive perceptions on their children's filial piety．

Keywords: Elderly, Filial Piety, Cohort Analysis

摘要： 进入21世纪后的十年,随着中国人口老龄化和家庭的变化,子女对老年人的孝顺程度是否在上升或是下降?老年人对子女孝顺程度的评价受到许多因素的影响,在中国老年人状况发生了一系列改变的情况下,哪些因素影响着老年人对子女的孝顺评价?文章利用中国老龄科学研究中心2000年和2010年中国城乡老年人状况调查数据进行分析后发现,十年间我国老年人对子女孝顺程度的总体评价越来越好;在区分老年人总体评价和同一批老年人在十年间的评价变化后发现,同一批老年人年龄增加10岁后评价子女孝顺的比例比十年前也在升高。子女的孝行和老年人自身的健康状况是影响孝顺评价的最主要因素;与"多子多福"、"养儿防老"的传统观念不同,有女儿且子女数较少的老人对子女的孝顺评价更好。

关键词: 老年人, 孝顺, 队列分析