Population Research ›› 2018, Vol. 42 ›› Issue (6): 100-110.

Previous Articles    

The Impacts of Population Structure and Household Size on Residential Energy Consumption:Evidences Based on Provincial-level Panel Data

Shen Ke, Shi Qian   

  1. Shen Ke is Associate Professor of Demography, School of Social Development and Public Policy, Fudan University. Email: shenke@fudan.edu.cn;Shi Qian is Staff Member, Education Bureau of Pudong New Area in Shanghai.
  • Online:2018-11-29 Published:2018-12-28
  • Contact: Shen Ke is Associate Professor of Demography, School of Social Development and Public Policy, Fudan University. Email: shenke@fudan.edu.cn;
  • About author:Shen Ke is Associate Professor of Demography, School of Social Development and Public Policy, Fudan University. Email: shenke@fudan.edu.cn;Shi Qian is Staff Member, Education Bureau of Pudong New Area in Shanghai.

人口结构与家庭规模对生活能源消费的影响——基于中国省级面板数据的实证研究

沈可 史倩   

  1. 沈可,复旦大学社会发展与公共政策学院副教授;史倩,浦东新区教育局科员。上海:200433
  • 通讯作者: 沈可,复旦大学社会发展与公共政策学院副教授。Email: shenke@fudan.edu.cn
  • 作者简介:沈可,复旦大学社会发展与公共政策学院副教授;史倩,浦东新区教育局科员。上海:200433
  • 基金资助:
    本文受国家社会科学基金青年项目“人口老龄化背景下教育、医疗与养老财政支出的受益公平性研究”(17CRK023)和国家自然科学基金重大项目“公平、活力与可持续——老龄社会的经济特征及支持体系研究”(71490734)资助。

Abstract: Drawing upon provincial data between 1995 and 2015 in China, this study presents the regional distributions and dynamic changes of residential energy consumption per capita, and also investigates the impacts of population structure and household size on residential energy consumption. Residential energy consumption per capita is on a rising trend across China, and the annual growth rates in Heilongjiang, Hainan, and Chongqing provinces between 2005 and 2015 top the list. Empirical analyses reveal that there is a U-shaped correlation between urbanization and residential energy consumption, and moreover, population aging and the shrinkage of household size lead to the increased energy consumption. In order to achieve the dual targets of combating climate change and meeting the rising demand for prosperous life, China should further promote energy reservation, and more importantly, improve the energy consumption structure and expand the utilization of clean energy.

Keywords: Residential Energy Consumption ,  , Urbanization ,  , Population Ageing ,  , Household Size

摘要: 文章基于中国1995~2015年省级面板数据,研究人均生活能源消费量的空间差异与动态变化,探索人口结构与家庭规模对生活能源消费量的影响。研究发现,各省份人均生活能源消费量整体呈递增趋势,在2005~2015年间,黑龙江、海南和重庆的人均生活用能增长率位居全国前三。实证研究结果显示:城镇人口比重与人均生活能耗之间呈“U”型关系,即城镇化早期可抑制生活能源消费,但随着城镇化的推进,人均生活能耗将逐渐提高;人口老龄化与家庭规模小型化均会显著增加人均生活用能。在积极应对气候变化与满足人民日益增长的美好生活需要的双重目标导向下,除了切实贯彻节能减排措施之外,更应强调改善能源结构、提升能源使用效率和推广清洁能源的使用。

关键词: 生活能源消费 , 城镇化 , 老龄化 , 家庭规模