Abstract:  With the rapid pace of population aging,the elderly long-term care,used to be provided by the family system,has turned into a social problem,which must be addressed now.Using data collected from Anhui and Jiangsu,this paper describes the daily living and health status of the elderly,compares the differences of demands for long-term care,and explores factors associated with the demand.Analytical results indicate that region,education difficulty in taking a bath,hemiplegia,pension,daughter or son-in-law care,hukou registration and childless all have a significant impact on long-term care demands.However,their effect varies by development level: they yield a bigger impact on the needs of long-term care service in less development areas than on more developed areas.Based on these findings,a number of policy recommendations on the improvements of long-term care service system have been proposed.

Keywords: The Elderly, Long-term Care, Demand, Regional Differences

摘要： 随着我国人口的快速老龄化,老年人长期护理已经由过去家庭承担的事务演变成现在必须正视的社会问题。本文通过对安徽、江苏两省的调查,描述了老年人生活与健康状况以及长期护理需求的差异性,分析了老年长期护理需求意愿的影响因素。研究发现,地区、户口、教育程度、无子女、有退休金、洗澡有困难、半身不遂、女儿或女婿照料8个因素对老年长期护理需求具有显著的影响,但是相对于欠发达地区而言,这些因素对经济相对发达地区的老年人长期护理服务需求的影响度要小。在此分析基础上提出了推动与完善我国老年长期护理服务体系的一些政策建议。

关键词: 老年, 长期护理, 需求意愿, 地区差异