Population Research ›› 2010, Vol. 34 ›› Issue (3): 40-52.

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  • Online:2010-05-29 Published:2012-11-25

为什么要建设“人口均衡型社会”?

于学军1,翟振武2,杨凡3,李建民4,穆光宗5   

  1. 1 《人口研究》编辑部,北京 100872;2 中国人民大学人口与发展研究中心,北京 100872; 3 中国人民大学人口所,北京 100872; 4 南开大学经济学院人口与发展研究所,南京;5 北京大学人口所,北京
  • 作者简介:1 《人口研究》编辑部,研究员; 2 中国人民大学人口与发展研究中心,教授;3 中国人民大学人口所,博士生;4 南开大学经济学院人口与发展研究所,教授;5 北京大学人口所,教授

Abstract: Population,resources and environment are the basic conditions of a country,and the fundamental factors affecting sustainable social and economic development.Population characteristics,and individual and household behaviors determine the use of resources and environmental protection.In order to achieve the goal of scientific development,it is necessary to take all of the three factors into account.Corresponding to this consideration,the Central Commission of the Chinese Communist Party called for "striving to build resources-saving and environment-friendly society" a few years ago,but why the "pattern of population" was excluded from this call? Given this,the leading party group of the National Population and Family Planning Commission proposed the idea of sustainable and balanced population development,which caught much research attention,and received responses from local family planning workers.How to translate a good idea into a theory,and then into practice deserves further discussion.Hence,this forum,"Why a Population-Balanced Society should be Built," brings together three scholars,Zhai Zhenwu,Li Jianmin,and Mu Guangzong who are specialized in this area,to discuss this issue in a greater detail.They have defined the concept of population-balanced development,explored feasible channels to realize such society,and pointed out the future research direction on this topic.As Professor Li points out,population-balanced development is a long-term,historical process;we should neither be too anxious for quick success,nor do nothing.What is important is not how fast we can go,but whether we are in the right direction,and step forward towards that direction.

关键词: 均衡发展, 人口发展, 人口与发展, 计划生育政策, 低生育率, 均衡型, 人口问题, 死亡率, 均衡状态, 人口规模