Abstract: Using the 2016 survey data of fertility decision making collected in Ningbo City,Zhejiang Province,this paper examines the effects of family resources,cultural norms,and gender of the first child on fertility decision making of the second child. Results show that fertility decision making of the second child is constrained by both family resources and cultural norms. About 20% of the women with one child want to have the second child. However,the second child fertility decision-making model is complicated. Women‘’s decision is heavily influenced by whether the existing child can meet their son preference,the
cost-utility of child,and family resources. In addition,the decision-making model varies by household registration. Urban women have relatively low preference for boys,and their decision is primarily determined by family resources. Therefore,their second child fertility decision is more rational. In contrast,migrating and rural women??s fertility decision-making of the second child is characterized by value orientation.Children‘’s utility and boy preference have a greater impact on their fertility decision-making.

摘要： 文章利用 2016 年浙江省宁波市生育决策调查数据,考察家庭资源、文化规范和第一个子女性别对女性二孩生育决策的影响。 研究发现,已生育一孩的育龄妇女中表示“打算生育二孩”的比例约为 20%,且二孩生育意愿存在户籍差异;女性的二孩生育决策同时受到家庭资源和文化规范的双重约束,综合考虑现有子女是否能够满足其男孩偏好、子女对于自身的成本—效用以及可供家庭分配的资源状况等因素决定是否生育二孩;女性的再生育决策模式存在户籍差异,其中城镇育龄妇女的男孩偏好程度较低,倾向于根据家庭资源状况进行二孩生育决策,具有理性决策的特征,但流动和农村女性的再生育决策表现出明显的价值取向,子女效用、男孩偏好等因素对其生育决策的影响较大。

关键词: 家庭资源, 成本&mdash, 效用, 男孩偏好, 子女性别, 生育决策