Table of Content

29 January 2018, Volume 42 Issue 1

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A New Journey in the Population and Family Planning Work under the Principles of the Nineteenth Party Congress

Wang Peian

2018, 42(1):  3-7. 

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On China's Population Development and Population Research in the 21st Century

Liu Jiaqiang,Liu Changyu and Tang Daisheng

2018, 42(1):  8-20. 

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The Key Ideas and Strategic Thinking of the Top-level Design of the Active Population Ageing in the New Era

Lu Jiehua

2018, 42(1):  21-26. 

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On the Study of Migration in the New Era

Duan Chengrong and Cheng Mengyao

2018, 42(1):  27-30. 

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Will Population Ageing Impede the Escape of Middle-Income Trap?

Fan Hongmin and Mu Huaizhong

2018, 42(1):  31-43. 

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Using cross-country panel data this paper analyzes the relationship between populationaging and economic growth,and further examines the impact of population aging on the probability of avoiding the middle-income trap. We find that there is a significant negative relationship between population aging and economic growth. The increase of the overall dependency ratio would decrease the probability of avoiding the middle-income trap. The impact of the old-age dependency ratio on the probability of being fallen into in the middle-income trap is not significant. Enhancement of human capital and technology progress would increase the probability of avoiding the middle-income trap. Therefore,measures should be taken to cope with the negative effect of aging on the economic growth in order to avoid the middle-income trap. These measures include enhancing the level of human capital and increasing investment on research and development.


Rural Labor Transfer and Rural Household Income in China:A Comparison between Mountainous and Non-Mountainous Areas

Pan Zehan and Wang Guixin

2018, 42(1):  44-59. 

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This paper compares the differences of the relationships between labour transfer and rural household income in mountainous and non-mountainous areas by extending the NELM(new economics of labour migration)framework. Empirical results show that labour reduction imposes a much less negative influence on the agricultural income in non-mountainous areas than in mountainous areas. Remittances exert a substitution effect on agricultural income in mountainous rural areas whereas have a growth effect in non-mountainous rural areas. The effects of labour transfer on agricultural and non-agricultural income are consistent in both terrain conditions. The reasons mainly locate in the difficulties in the development of the agricultural production mechanization. As a consequence,it is more difficult to improve overall rural local wage level in the mountainous regions by labour migration,and thus excessive labour
transfer and poverty tend to follow.


Housing Source of Migrants and Its Associated Factors

Yang Juhua

2018, 42(1):  60-75. 

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The Chinese government,central and local alike,has issued a number of documents,aiming to include migrants in the housing security system at the place of destination since 2010. Have these policies improved migrants?? living condition? Focusing on housing source,this paper describes its changing trend in the past 10 years,and explores its associates in 2014. Analytic results show that over 70% of migrants stay in rented house; the proportion of migrants who own house / apartment is very low and those who have access to public housing is extremely low. While urban and rural hukou (household registration) type makes a difference in owning / access to public housing and renting housing,both rural-urban migrants and urban-urban migrants share more similarities than difference in housing source,especially when they are compared to local residents. Such findings suggest that it still has a long way to go to include migrants in the local housing security framework. In the context of “Shared Development” norms,more efforts should be devoted to alleviate barriers migrants encounter in access to public housing and improve the ability of migrants to own their own houses / apartments.


The Impact of Parental Migration for Work on the Health and Education of Children Left Behind

Ding Jihong,Xu Ningyin

2018, 42(1):  76-89. 

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Using the six waves of China Health and Nutrition Survey data 1997 2011,this paper explores the impacts of parental migration for work on the health and education of their children left behind. The endogenous treatment effect model is employed to address the selection bias. The paper finds that parental migration for work significantly decreases the education level of their children,especially for rural children. It also decreases their children??s heights but reduces the probability of children being overweight. The former effect is more significant for the urban children and the latter one has greater impact on the rural children. However,parental migration has no significant effect on whether or not children have diseases in the past four weeks. These effects are different for children at different ages.


Having the Second Child:Family Resources,Cultural Values or Child Gender?

Mu Yingtan,Yuan Xin

2018, 42(1):  90-103. 

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Using the 2016 survey data of fertility decision making collected in Ningbo City,Zhejiang Province,this paper examines the effects of family resources,cultural norms,and gender of the first child on fertility decision making of the second child. Results show that fertility decision making of the second child is constrained by both family resources and cultural norms. About 20% of the women with one child want to have the second child. However,the second child fertility decision-making model is complicated. Women‘’s decision is heavily influenced by whether the existing child can meet their son preference,the
cost-utility of child,and family resources. In addition,the decision-making model varies by household registration. Urban women have relatively low preference for boys,and their decision is primarily determined by family resources. Therefore,their second child fertility decision is more rational. In contrast,migrating and rural women??s fertility decision-making of the second child is characterized by value orientation.Children‘’s utility and boy preference have a greater impact on their fertility decision-making.


A Summary Report of the “International Conference on Population Dynamics in Sustainable Development Era: Fertility Transition and Social Policy Responses”

Zhang Xianling

2018, 42(1):  104-112. 

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