Loading...
Toggle navigation
Home
About Journal
Editorial Border
Instruction
Editorial office
Office Work
Editor Work
Editor-in-Chief
Subscription
Contact Us
中文
Office Online
Online Submission
Manuscript Tracking
Peer Review
Journal Online
Current Issue
Archive
Archive By Column
Advanced Search
Most Read Articles
Most Download Articles
Most Cited Articles
Email Alert
Links
More>>
Visited
Total visitors:
Visitors of today:
Now online:
Table of Content
29 March 2018, Volume 42 Issue 2
Previous Issue
Next Issue
Intergenerational Effects of Gender Preference:Observations through Desire and Behaviour of Parents
Song Jian,Qin Tingting and Song Haoming
2018, 42(2): 15-28.
Asbtract
(
)
PDF
(272KB) (
)
Related Articles
|
Metrics
Using
2016
national sampling survey data
,
this paper analyzes the intergenerational
effects of gender preference on the first married women in urban China. The influence is observed
through either parents’ gender preference for grandchildren or parents’fertility behavior represented as
the siblings'gender structure of the women.Results show that women’s parens have positive effects on
their gender preference regardless of the number of the desired children
,
while the effects of their par
ents?in?law are significant only for their first child.The sibling’s gender structure of the women also has
significant positive effect on their gender preference. In addition
,
compared with the only child
,
women
who grew with both brothers and sisters have stronger male preference.The findings imply that although
the majority of urban women have no gender preference for the first child and have both son and
daughter preference when desire to have two children
,
there are exceptions who still prefer boys.Their
parents' desire and behavior play important roles on their son preference.This paper also finds that the
gender structure of women's existing children and the provinces where they live significantly affect
women's gender preference.
Second Birth Interval in China:A Study Using the Revised Lee-carter Model
Huang Kuangshi and Liu Hongyan
2018, 42(2): 29-38.
Asbtract
(
)
PDF
(862KB) (
)
Related Articles
|
Metrics
Based on the
De Jure
Population Database of the
121
National Monitoring Counties in
2013
from the National Health and Family Planning Commission
,
this study employs the revised Lee?Cart
er model to decompose the second birth intervals for women aged
20
to
50
between
1980
and
2013
into
three parts
:
the age?specific minimum second birth interval
,
the elasticity of the second birth interval
cross age
,
and the over?time change of the second birth interval. The results show that the minimum
second birth interval ranges from
1
.
2
to
1
.
7
years. Increasing age of women is associated with
increasing minimum second birth interval.The elasticity curve cross age demonstrates an S?shape
,
which
flats between age
20~30,
increases linearly between age
30~45,
and declines slightly after age
45
.Fi
nally
,
the time effect on the second birth interval is negative between
1986
and
1996
while it is positive between
1980
and
1985
and between
1997
and
2013
.These findings may help deepen our understand
ing of the age?specific pattern and time fluctuation of the second birth interval in China.
The Impact of Urbanization on China’s Future Rural and Urban Age Structure
Meng Xiangjing and Jiang Kaidi
2018, 42(2): 39-53.
Asbtract
(
)
PDF
(3456KB) (
)
Related Articles
|
Metrics
Along with the social and economic development and urbanization policy
,
China's urbani
zation has entered into an accelerating period and the rural
-
urban migration becomes a major driving
force.According to the national urban planning
,
China??s urbanization rate would reach to
60
% in
2020
and
70
% in
2030,
respectively.Using the
2000
and
2010
population census data and population balan
cing equation
,
this paper makes an estimation of the age
-
specific rural
-
urban transfer rate between
2000-2010
and conducts prediction of rural and urban age structure in
2010-2030
.The results suggest
that population ageing in rural area would speed up and the old dependency ratio in rural area would
become much higher than that in urban area.Working age population would also face the problem of
ageing.The school age population would decrease in rural area and increase in urban area.Both rural
and urban area will face the challenge of the rapid change of age structure.The society needs to plan
and prepare well for both rural and urban age structure change
,
focusing especially on the equal right
for migrants in urban area and the development of rural area.
Estimation and Prediction of China’s Agricultural Surplus Labor Stock in 1984~2050
Zhao Weijun,Jiao Binlong and Han Yuanyuan
2018, 42(2): 54-69.
Asbtract
(
)
PDF
(1027KB) (
)
Related Articles
|
Metrics
It has been controversial in measuring stock of agricultural surplus labor using man?days
conversion method due to different definitions of reasonable and effective man?days of the agricultural
labor force.In this paper
,
we make corrections to the man?days conversion method by constructing the
utility man?days conversion model.The seasonal index and the weather changing index are introduced
to determine the reasonable working load man?days.On the premise of utility maximization of par con
sciousness
,
the utility maximization man?days is determined. Agricultural labor force knowledge
coefficient and agricultural technology index are introduced to determine the effective man?days of agri
cultural labor force. The surplus man?days are determined on the basis of reasonable working load
man?days and effective man?days. The agricultural surplus labor time is converted into the quantity of
agriculture surplus labor force through two kinds of representation of productivity.In addition
,
China’s ag
ricultural surplus labor stock in
1984~2050
is estimated and predicted by the model.The analyses are e
valuated by comparing the results with those of other scholars.
A study on the Financial Planning of the Chinese Elderly for Later Life
Zhang Wenjuan and Ji Jingyao
2018, 42(2): 70-83.
Asbtract
(
)
PDF
(1075KB) (
)
Related Articles
|
Metrics
Employing data from
2014
China Longitudinal Aging Social Survey
(
CLASS
),
this paper an
alyzes the situation and characteristics of financial planning behavior of Chinese elderly for their later
lives.Furthermore
,
this paper explores the heterogeneity of the Chinese elderly in their financial planning
behavior and identifies the ones with high inclination to conduct financial planning.The results reveal that
cash savings are still the most important way of financial preparation for the elderly.Elderly in urban and
rural areas show high preference for financial investment and land transaction respectively.Significant di
versity can be found in the planning behavior of the elderly
,
such as the differences in financial planning
among the elderly in different cohorts and with different characteristics and social situations.The elderly
live in eastern area
,
cities
,
and the cohort who gave birth late are more likely to make financial planning.
Meanwhile
,
social situations interacting with elderly??s characteristics and individual capacity affect their fi?
nancial planning.
Population Ageing and Its Effect on Total Health Expenditure:A Prospective Age Perspective
Yang Xin,Zuo Xuejin and Wang Meifeng
2018, 42(2): 84-98.
Asbtract
(
)
PDF
(1859KB) (
)
Related Articles
|
Metrics
With the continuous extension of life expectancy
,
the negative impact of population ageing
may be exaggerated by using a static age perspective.In this paper
,
we try to forecast the population
ageing trend of China under different age criteria in
2010-2050
and analyze their effects on total health
expenditure.The results show that ageing rate measured with prospective age would be much lower
than that measured with chronological age and the health expenditure for the elderly would be consid
erably reduced.The implications are that the ratio of labor force to the elderly population would change
,
which would reduce health expenditure.However
,
in achieving that
,
it is necessary to promote the rele
vant social policies such as encouraging the postponement of retirement age
,
changing the concept of
health service
,
and reforming the health service system.
The Estimation of Death Underreporting in the 2010 Population Census Based on DCMD Model Life Tables
Li Cheng,Mi Hong and Sun Lingxue
2018, 42(2): 99-112.
Asbtract
(
)
PDF
(1900KB) (
)
Related Articles
|
Metrics
Young?age and old?age death probabilities are essential for accurate estimation of life ex
pectancy at age
0
and
60,
which have major implications for the formulation of endowment insurance
and other policies.Previous studies have testified that death underreporting commonly exists in the mor
tality data of young?age and old?age group
,
such that various approaches of modification were offered.
This paper recalculated sex?specific life tables of China and life expectancy at age
0
and
60
for the
2010
population census based on the DCMD model life tables
,
using child mortality data from UNICEF
,
adult
mortality information from IHME
,
and old?age mortality rates derived from the sex?specific population
aged
60 75
in the census.The underreporting rates of young?age and old?age mortality are estimated.
The result shows that in the
2010
population census adjusted infant mortality rates are
16
.
41
‰ for male
and
15
.
94
‰ for female
,
implying an underreporting rate of
77
.
3
% and
75
.
5
% respectively
;
the adjusted
old?age
(
from
60
to
89)
death probabilities are
0
.
703
for male and
0
.
595
for female with the underre
porting rate being
2
.
3
% and
7
.
0
% respectively.