Abstract: Drawing upon data from Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Aging Survey from 1998 to 2005 and using Cox hazard regression model,this paper analyzes impact of religious attendance on mortality risk of the Chinese oldest old,and examines the roles of physical/mental health,healthy behaviors and socioeconomic supports in this relationship,in order to test four types of theoretical models in the literature.The results show that religious attendance is correlated with mortality risk.However,the effects of other potential explanatory variables can reduce the association.The findings suggest that religious attendance may represent a proxy for physical health,especially among the oldest old.

Keywords: Religious Attendance, Risk, China’s Oldest Old, Cox Model

摘要： 根据中国高龄老人健康长寿跟踪调查数据(1998～2005年),利用Cox比例风险模型考察宗教参与对高龄老人死亡风险的影响机制,深入分析人口学特征、肌体健康、心理健康、健康行为及社会经济支持这五类因素在宗教参与和死亡风险关系中的交互作用,以此对西方文献中相关的4种理论模型进行实证检验。结果表明,宗教参与对死亡风险存在一定程度的影响,但是控制其他因素则会削弱这种影响,其中肌体健康因素所代表的"替代性机制"能够将两者关系的显著作用完全消除。

关键词: 宗教参与, 死亡风险, 高龄老人, Cox模型