关键词: 定居意愿, 城市归属感, 直接效应, 间接效应, 结构方程模型

Abstract: Drawing upon data from a twelve-city migrant survey conducted in 2009， this paper takes the advantage of structural equation modeling to examine the determinants of settlement intention of migrant workers， and to explore the mechanism of how these determinants indirectly affect settlement intentions via
city attachment． Model results show that the sense of city attachment plays an important role in determining rural migrantsintention to make permanent settlement in cities． Migrants of more years of education，being single， having skilled job， and with spouse or boy or girl friend in the same city are more willing to settle in cities． Having access to formal housing， frequently interacting with local people， and mastering local language not only positively affect the intention to settle in cities， but also indirectly and positively affect settlement intention via city attachment． The direct negative effect of size of social network on settlement intention is greater than the indirect positive effect via city attachment． Experience of discrimination and gender role also indirectly affect settlement intention． Model results also demonstrate the significance of further distinguishing the direct and indirect effects．

Keywords: Settlement Intention, City Attachment, Direct Effect, Indirect Effect, Structural Equation Modeling