关键词: 人口流迁, FDI, 空间依赖, 重心演变, 空间面板计量模型

Abstract: In addressing the research question that whether population mobility influences regional choice of foreign direct investment (FDI) and its spatial difference，this paper investigates the spatial and temporal relationship between population mobility and FDI in 31 provinces of China and its evolution trajectory from 1995 to 2010． There are several research findings: First，Global Moran's I shows that FDI and population mobility have significant spatial autocorrelation and the significance increases with time． Second，the gravity centers of FDI and population mobility locate in the central area of China，i.e．，near Wuhan，Nanchang，and Hefei，which move from west to east from 1995 to 2005，while the direction reverses between 2005 to 2010．Such a trend is related to the regional development strategies． However，there are spatial variations among the gravity centers of FDI，of intra-provincial mobile population and of inter-provincial mobile population． Third，analyzing the influence of population mobility，government service and economic development on FDI shows that population mobility，especially the long-distance trans-provincial population movement significantly affects the spatial distribution and regional choice on FDI．

Keywords: Population Mobility and Migration, Foreign Direct Investment, Spatial Dependence, Evolvement of Centre of Gravity, Spatial Panel Data Model