人口研究 ›› 2023, Vol. 47 ›› Issue (2): 3-10.

• 建构中国自主的人口学知识体系——科学认识及应对人口负增长 •    下一篇

从全球人口变化看中国人口负增长

郑真真   

  1. 郑真真,中国社会科学院人口与劳动经济研究所
  • 出版日期:2023-03-29 发布日期:2023-03-29
  • 作者简介:郑真真,中国社会科学院人口与劳动经济研究所研究员。
  • 基金资助:
    本文为国家自然科学基金专项项目“中国人口转变的独特性、经济影响及政策研究” (72141310)的阶段性成果。

The Population Decline in China: A Global Perspective

Zheng Zhenzhen   

  1. Zheng Zhenzhen, Institute of Population and Labor Economics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences
  • Online:2023-03-29 Published:2023-03-29
  • About author:Zheng Zhenzhen is Professor, Institute of Population and Labor Economics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences.

摘要: 全球人口在近一个世纪中先后经历了死亡率下降、规模高速增长、生育率下降、规模增速减缓等不同发展阶段。中国人口变化与全球人口变化大趋势基本一致,但变化历程在时间上大大压缩,在人口规模达到峰值前后,快步进入老龄社会。低生育率、人口低增长或负增长以及人口老龄化并不是中国的特有现象,而是全球在21世纪将要共同面对的挑战。中国需要尽快适应人口新变化,并积极应对其带来的各种新挑战。

关键词: 人口转变, 人口负增长, 人口老龄化

Abstract: The world has experienced population growth and fertility decline for nearly a century and has entered an era of deceleration of growth. China’s population change is consistent with the global trend, but the time length of the whole process has been significantly compressed. While the population size has peaked, China has quickly become an ageing society. Nevertheless, low fertility, stagnation or negative growth, and population ageing are not unique to China. In the 21st century, both China and the world need to face these challenges. China must adapt to these demographic changes and actively respond to the challenges as soon as possible.