人口研究 ›› 2018, Vol. 42 ›› Issue (4): 3-14.

• 学习贯彻党的十九大精神 加强人口发展战略研究 •    下一篇

中国特大城市的人口调控:理论分析与思考

童玉芬   

  • 出版日期:2018-07-29 发布日期:2018-07-29
  • 作者简介:童玉芬,首都经济贸易大学劳动经济学院教授、博士生导师。北京:100070
  • 基金资助:
    本文受到国家社会科学基金重点项目《首都圈人口空间格局优化及生态环境压力疏解研究》资助(编号:14ARK003)。

Population Control in China's Mega Cities: Theoretical Analysis and Reflection

Tong Yufen   

  • Published:2018-07-29 Online:2018-07-29
  • About Author:Tong Yufen is professor, School of Labor Economics, Capital University of Economics and Business.Email:Tongyufen7017@126.com

摘要:中国特大城市人口调控已经在实践中走过多年,然而学术界对于人口调控基础理论的研究还不够系统和深入,很多基本问题上也缺乏共识。文章在对当前国内特大城市人口调控研究文献梳理的基础上,提出对我国特大城市人口调控的一些思考。从大城市人口自发调节的市场机制会出现失灵,特大城市病与人口因素的关系,短板资源对城市规模增长的硬约束等多个方面,论证了政府对特大城市人口调控的必要性。在具体调控措施上,提出了政府在特大城市人口调控中应该注意的几个问题,包括避免陷入人口决定论,注意人口调控的目标多元性,防止人口调控中的政府失灵,注意产业疏解与人口疏解的协调一致,以及在调控手段中注意避免直接行政干预,要在城市治理中采用经济法律手段进行调控等。

关键词: 特大城市 , 人口调控 , 人口疏解

Abstract: Urban population control in China has been carried out for many years,however,there are a number of academic issues associated with the deficiency of basic theories of population control system,which leads to lack of consensus on some basic problems.Based on review and analysis of the literature,this study proposes some thoughts on the domestic urban population regulation through logical deduction and theoretical derivation methods.Regarding the controversy on whether the government should direct in population regulation,this work has identified a number of weakness and limitations of resources in mega cities,which can be caused by the failure of market mechanism,mega-urban diseases,and demographic factors.In fact,the reduction of urban population growth is achieved by government regulation instead of market conduct,which verifies the effect of government regulation in urban population control.Meanwhile,a number of problems that should be noticed have been listed including the diversity of population regulation target (instead of the simple theory of population determinism),the failure of market mechanism,the coordination of industry layout and population,the avoidance of direct administrative intervention in population regulation,and the legal means in urban governance controls.

Keywords: Mega City, Population Control, Population Redistribution