人口研究 ›› 2021, Vol. 45 ›› Issue (3): 88-96.

• 第七次全国人口普查分析 • 上一篇    下一篇

新冠肺炎疫情对中国出生人口变动的影响

张翠玲1,李月2,杨文庄3,张许颖4   

  1. 张翠玲1,中国人口与发展研究中心;李月2,中国人口与发展研究中心; 杨文庄3,国家卫生健康委人口监测与家庭发展司;张许颖4(通讯作者),中国人口与发展研究中心。
  • 出版日期:2021-05-29 发布日期:2021-06-16
  • 作者简介:张翠玲,中国人口与发展研究中心研究员;李月,中国人口与发展研究中心副研究员; 杨文庄,国家卫生健康委人口监测与家庭发展司司长;张许颖(通讯作者),中国人口与发展研究中心研究员。
  • 基金资助:
    本文为国家社会科学基金一般项目“全面两孩政策背景下二孩净效应估计研究课题”(20BRK047)的阶段性成果。

The Influence of COVID-19 on Birth Numbers in China

Zhang Cuiling1,Li Yue2,Yang Wenzhuang3,Zhang Xuying4   

  1. Zhang Cuiling1, China Population and Development Research Center; Li Yue2, China Population and Development Research Center; Yang Wenzhuang3, Population Monitoring and Family Development Division, National Health Commission of China; Zhang Xuying4(Corresponding Author),China Population and Development Research Center.
  • Online:2021-05-29 Published:2021-06-16
  • About author:Zhang Cuiling is Researcher, China Population and Development Research Center; Li Yue is Associate Researcher, China Population and Development Research Center; Yang Wenzhuang is Director, Population Monitoring and Family Development Division, National Health Commission of China; Zhang Xuying(Corresponding Author) is Researcher,China Population and Development Research Center.

摘要: 基于国家互联互通出生人口监测数据的分析结果显示,中国近年来出生人口下降主要由30岁以下人群生育数量减少、一孩出生数量逐年下降及二孩增长趋缓共同驱动。新冠肺炎疫情在中国近年来出生数量持续走低的背景下,进一步压低中国的生育水平,加速了中国出生人口数量下行。

关键词: 新冠肺炎疫情, 出生人口, 互联互通出生人口监测数据, 人口监测

Abstract: Based on the analysis of national birth monitoring data, this paper suggests that declining number of births in recent years in China is driven jointly by the reduction of births among women aged below 30, the decrease of first births and the waning growth of the second births. The outbreak of COVID-19 further drastically depressed the number of births among women aged below 30 and reduced the number of first births in the fourth quarter of 2020, resulting in an accelerated decline in the number of births in 2020.

Keywords: COVID-19, Birth Numbers, National Interconnection Platform for Birth Registration, Population Monitoring