人口研究 ›› 2022, Vol. 46 ›› Issue (4): 69-83.

• 老龄问题研究 • 上一篇    下一篇

养老金水平对低龄老年人劳动参与的影响

赵明1,王晓军2,李子文3   

  1. 赵明1,首都经济贸易大学金融学院副教授;王晓军2,中国人民大学统计学院教授;李子文3,首都经济贸易大学金融学院硕士研究生。
  • 出版日期:2022-07-29 发布日期:2022-08-03
  • 作者简介:赵明,首都经济贸易大学金融学院副教授;王晓军,中国人民大学统计学院教授;李子文,首都经济贸易大学金融学院硕士研究生。
  • 基金资助:
    本文受教育部哲学社会科学研究重大课题攻关项目“健康中国2030背景下的健康老龄化体系优化研究”(20JZD023)、北京市教育委员会社科计划一般项目“积极老龄化视角下北京市低龄老年人口劳动参与意愿与影响机制研究”(SM202110038005)及首都经济贸易大学北京市属高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目“大数据背景下健康老龄化综合评价指数体系与精算测度研究”(QNTD202205)资助。

The Effect of Pension on Labor Participation of the Young Old in China

Zhao Ming1,Wang Xiaojun2,Li Ziwen3   

  1. Zhao Ming1, School of Finance, Capital University of Economics and Business; Wang Xiaojun2,School of Statistics, Renmin University of China; Li Ziwen3 , School of Finance, Capital University of Economics and Business.
  • Online:2022-07-29 Published:2022-08-03
  • About author:Zhao Ming, School of Finance, Capital University of Economics and Business; Wang Xiaojun,School of Statistics, Renmin University of China; Li Ziwen , School of Finance, Capital University of Economics and Business.

摘要: 构建养老金水平对低龄老年人劳动参与影响的理论模型,综合运用Probit模型、工具变量法和倾向值得分匹配法,从理论和实证角度探究二者之间的影响效应,以期弥合当前研究中的观点冲突。研究发现,养老金水平对中国低龄老年人劳动参与率和劳动参与时间均产生显著的负向影响;低龄老年人劳动参与的收入弹性较小,与养老金水平之间呈现出较为平缓的“U型”关系;配偶同住、健康状况和隔代照料3个因素与养老金水平之间存在对老年人劳动参与影响的交互效应;养老金水平对女性和农村低龄老年人劳动参与的影响效应相对较高,这与中国传统家庭伦理观念和城乡二元结构密切相关。研究结论为提高低龄老年人劳动参与、实施积极应对人口老龄化战略提供了政策启示。

关键词: 养老金, 劳动参与, 低龄老年人

Abstract: Previous research suggests different views regarding the effect of pension on the labor participation of the younger elderly. This paper constructs a theoretical model and uses probit model, instrument variable and propensity score matching method to explore the effect. The results show that: (1) pension has a significant negative impact on labor participation rate and labor participation time of the young old; (2) the income elasticity of labor participation of the young old is small, and there is a slight Ucurve relationship between labor participation and pension; (3) marital status, health condition and childcare show significant moderating effects; (4) the effect is more significant among women and rural young old, which is closely related to China's traditional family ethics and urbanrural divide. The results have policy implications for improving labor participation of the young older adults and implementing the strategy of actively coping with population aging.