人口研究 ›› 2009, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (6): 102-109.

• 论文 • 上一篇    

农民工返乡的经济学分析——以托达罗模型为视角

盛亦男1孙猛1   

  1. 1 吉林大学东北亚研究院,吉林 130012
  • 出版日期:2009-11-29 发布日期:2012-11-25
  • 作者简介:1 吉林大学东北亚研究院硕士研究生

An Economic Analysis of Return Migration of Peasant Workers

Sheng Yinan1, Su Meng2     

  1. 1 North East Asia Institute, Ji Lin University, Jilin 130012
  • Online:2009-11-29 Published:2012-11-25
  • About author:1 North East Asia Institute, Ji Lin University

摘要: 本文以托达罗人口迁移模型作为主要分析手段,针对当前农民工大规模返乡现象进行分析。得出,城乡预期收入差距影响劳动力供给,城市实际工资和政策参数影响劳动力需求,金融危机作为外生变量影响劳动力供求平衡。最后,借鉴托达罗人口迁移模型提出了相应的政策思路。

关键词: 金融危机, 农民工, 托达罗模型

Abstract: In this paper,we use Todaro migration model as the main tool to analyse current phenomenon of large-scale migrant workers returning home.This paper considers that expected income gap between rural and urban areas influences the supply of labor force;the demand for labor is affected by urban real wages and the policy parameters;the financial crisis being an exogenous variable affects the labor supply-demand balance.Finally we advance relevant policies according to Todaro migration model.

Keywords: Financial Crisis, Migrant Workers, Todaro Model