关键词: 劳动力流动, 自然灾害, 应急管理, 家庭策略

Abstract: Using the data of China Family Panel Studies (CFPS), this paper examines the influence of natural disasters on rural labor migration. The results show that natural disasters significantly increase the probability of rural labor outmigration. The impacts of different natural disasters, including floods, droughts, and other disasters, differ across regions. Natural disasters affect labor migration by increasing household agricultural income loss, credit demand, and aggregating relative poverty. Further analysis indicates that the implementation of disaster relief and reconstruction policies and the support from clan networks provide safeguards to resist disasters and reduce the possibility of labor outflow. In the face of violent natural disasters that families can hardly withstand, the policies are more effective. This study explores the effect of natural disasters on population migration in China, and provides suggestions for implementing population management policies and building a modernized natural disaster prevention government system.

Keywords: Labor Migration, Natural Disaster, Emergency Management, Family Strategy