关键词: 族际通婚率变化量, 聚类分析, 逐步多元线性回归

Abstract: This paper studies the influencing factors of intermarriage rate in China from 2000 to 2010. The results show that the intermarriage rate of ethnic minorities in China has increased on the whole. There are great differences in the increase of intermarriage rate among different ethnic groups, which can be classified into three types according to the change value of interracial marriage rates and influencing factors. The results of classified regression analysis show that for the first group of the 17 ethnic groups, the change of urbanization rate and the basic value of intermarriage rate in 2000 have a significant impact on the increase of the intermarriage rate; for the second group of the 23 ethnic groups, the change in the proportion of the population with higher education and the change of urbanization rate have a significant impact on the increase of intermarriage rate; While the third group of the 15 ethnic groups has a small or negative increase in intermarriage rate.

Keywords: Variation in Interethnic Marriage, Cluster Analysis, Stepwise Multiple Linear Regression