Table of Content

29 January 2017, Volume 41 Issue 1

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Strategic Thinking on Rationalizing Aged Care Service System in China

Gu Shengzu,Wu Huajun,Cao Dongmei

2017, 41(1):  3-14. 

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As the aging of Chinese population has entered a fast development period,the demand for old-age care service is unceasingly expanding.Therefore,it is urgent to optimize the old-age care service system by a clear division of responsibilities among family,market and governmen.Specifically,it is suggested that the government should provide institutional supply and basic service for the elderly without family suppor.Families should play their vital role in home-based care service system,especially in the smart old-age care syste.At the same time,the vitality of the market should be further stimulate.Policy support system for private old-age service institutions should be built to solve their difficulties in land use,fund raising,and employment et.Furthermore,long-term mutual care insurance system should be established to provide long-term care for elders with disability and dementi.In addition,old-age care service supply should be expanded in rural areas,and more new small cities should be cultivated to provide old-age care service for elderly migrant workers.


The Relationship between Self-Reported Health and Social Participation of Chinese Elderly: Evidence from CLHLS Survey

Lu Jiehua,Li Yue,Zheng Bing

2017, 41(1):  15-26. 

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There has been an agreement among international communities that social participation of the elderly people can actively cope with the issue of population ageing.However,most of the previous studies mainly focus on how social participation affecting health,little attention has been paid to the bi-directional relationship between the.Using the data of the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey ( CLHLS) ,this paper explores this question using the logit and fixed effect models.After controlling for confounding factors,the model results show that there does exist significant bi-directional relationship between self-report health ( SRH) and social participation of the Chinese elderly.It is suggested that those older adults who report good SRH have a 22.0% ～ 40.1% higher odds ratio of engaging in social participation than those who have poor SRH; older adults who are engaged in social participation have a 16.4% ～ 25.6% higher odds ratio of reporting good SRH; the influence of SRH on social participation might be larger than that of social participation on SRH．Besides,the results reveal that the impact of social participation on SRH is more effective among elderly who report good SRH at baseline．


China’ s Population and Development in the Context of Urbanization#br#

Li Tie,Xu Qinxian

2017, 41(1):  27-33. 

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In recent years the growth rate of the Gross Domestic Product and the urbanization rate have been slowing down,and there is a growing trend of replacing human labor by machines and technology in China.However,the agriculture scale management in rural areas has not yet realized.Besides,the policies related to the reform of rural land use and Hukou system have not yet been fully implemented.Meanwhile,migrant workers tend to withdraw from the urban labor market earlier than before.The traditional real estate-oriented urban development pattern not only reduces the level of inclusiveness but also decreases employment opportunities in the tertiary industry of urban areas.Therefore,the surplus of the rural labor force could be a long-term
phenomenon.Currently,the issues of low birth rate and rapid population aging have not yet reached the‘tipping point’.However,China’ s large population size and the rapid growth of its socio-economically deprived population may impose pressure upon the country and the world at large.Thus,greater emphasis of population policies should be placed on changing the demographic structure.That is to reduce the proportion of socio-economically deprived population rather than merely increase the population size.Meanwhile,the reform related to urbanization should be accelerated to promote the transformation of the urban development pattern,and the system of population data collection and release should be improved in the country as well．

Economic Income and Intergenerational Economic Support of the Urban and Rural Elderly in China#br#

Sun Juanjuan

2017, 41(1):  34-45. 

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Based on data from 2014 China Longitudinal Aging Social Survey conducted by Renmin University of China,this paper analyzes the income levels and intergenerational economic support of the Chinese elderl.The study explores the influencing factors of the income of urban and rural elderly using multiple linear regression model.The results show that the average income of the urban elderly is 4.5 times that of the rural elderly.The“upward”transfer of economic resources is the main pattern among the families of Chinese elderly,while“downward”transfer is also distinct among the urban elderly in terms of the percentage and degree of the transfers to their childre.Both the early endowed qualifications and multiple cumulative social factors in the elderly’ s life courses are significantly related to the income level of the Chinese elderl.However,big differences are found among rural and urban elderly in terms of the effects or even the directions of the influencing factors.This paper proposes that the key of enhancing economic security in later life is to improve people’ s economic independence instead of encouraging economic supports by family members for elderly．


Security Replacement，Inter-Generation Contract and Information Inducement: Determinants of Intention of Participating in Housing Reverse Mortgage Based on Survey Data from Wuhan

Xiong Jingwei,Zhong Zhangbao,Li Aoqi

2017, 41(1):  46-58. 

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Housing reverse mortgage is a new old-age provision model replacing the elders’assets built during their working time with cash flow so as to promote security．The article conducts ordered Probit and Logistic models to investigate the influencing factors of the intention of elderly people to participate in reverse mortgage based on a survey data obtained from Wuhan．The findings include: ( 1) the elders’monthly income has a significant negative effect on their intention of participating in reverse mortgage．( 2) Inter-generation factors have significant effects on the elders’participation intention．Specifically，children’s supports of the mortgage impose a positive effect on the elders’participation intention，while the numbers and the economic status of the children present a negative effect．( 3) Information and knowledge about the mortgage also have a significant positive effect on the elders’participation intention，as well as their ‘reinforced cognition’to the mortgage need．The empirical analyses confirm three intriguing mechanisms in the process of the willingness inducement，i．e．，the security replacement effect，the inter-generation relationship restricted effect，and the information induced effect．

On Regional Demography#br#

Wang Xueyi

2017, 41(1):  59-69. 

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Regional demography，as a branch of demography，is a new direction of demographic research．Its theoretical function and practical value relies on guiding，promoting，and coordinating the sustainable development of regional populations．Based on the contradiction，complexity，diversity，and imbalance of regional population development，this paper reviews the literature of regional demog- raphy，and attempts to build a preliminary analytical framework of regional population by analyzing the application of regional demography，focusing on the research object，scope，methods，and contents of regional demography，and the relationship among regional demography，regional science，population geography，spatial demography，and other related study fields．The paper also puts forward some problems that deserve further discussion，including the types of regional demography，the boundaries that separate regional demography from other fields，the theoretical foundation of regional demogra- phy，and the prospect of regional demography．

Marital Stability in the Process of Temporary Migration#br#

Ma Zhongdong,Shi Zhilei

2017, 41(1):  70-83. 

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In this study，we construct a multidimensional framework for analyzing marital stability among floating population，generate hypotheses，and test them based on a large sample survey of 157535 migrants’households in 106 cities in China．The prevalent divorce rates among floating population are of clear patterns by age，education and urban/rural type，with higher rates for older，more educated and urban-registered residents．By province，the divorce rate of flow-in migrants is similar to that of flow-out migrants，reflecting regionalized cultural effects on marriage．The risk of divorce is enhanced in the migration process during which the quality of marriage declines，contacts for the substitution increase，and search costs for marriage reduce．Regression results show that the odds of being divorced are greater for solely moved husbands ( than wives) and those who migrated for a longer period and over a shorter distance．

The Income Difference between Rural and Urban Floating Migrants: The Quantile Regression Based on Data of 2015 Dynamic Monitoring of Floating Population#br#

Yu Xiao,Sun Yue

2017, 41(1):  84-97. 

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Based on the dynamic monitoring data of floating population in 2015，this study adopts the quantile regression and quantile decomposition analysis to explore the wage difference between the rural and urban floating population．There is a significant income gap between the groups of the floating population．In addition to the characteristic differences，discrimination resulting from the household registration system stands at as high as 36．8% of the total impact on wage income difference．Meanwhile，the coefficients affecting the income at different quantiles significantly differ between the rural and urban floating population．In the counterfactual state，increase of the income quantile ( income level) leads to widening of the income gap of the two groups，and the impact of the discrimination deepens， which is as high as 75．1% in 90% quantile．Apparently，reforming the household registration system will help narrow the income gap within the floating population．Furthermore，a range of supporting policies are needed to reduce the discrimination and to promote urban-rural integration．

The Impact of Household Registration System Reform on Population Immigration of Big Cities in China: An Empirical Study Based on Urban Panel Data from 2000 to 2014#br#

Yang Xiaojun

2017, 41(1):  98-112. 

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One of the major purposes of the household registration system ( Hukou) reform is to promote population migration to the big cities by removing urban-rural Hukou barriers and administra- tive intervention mechanism of resources allocation through abolishing the resident special status and lowering the settlement threshold in the big cities．This paper analyzes the impact of Hukou reform on population migration using urban panel data from 2000 to 2014 from 123 big cities in China both at the national level and by city size and region．The results show that implementation of unified reform of the household registration management system and the house or regular income based settlement policy can attract population migration to the big cities at the national level．At the city level，the Hukou reform has significant positive impact on population migration for cities below 2 million people．At the regional level，an increasingly stronger impact is observed from the eastern to the western region．