Table of Content

29 November 2019, Volume 43 Issue 6

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Migration and Women's Birth Interval:An Empirical Study Based on 2017 China Fertility Survey

Jin Yongai,Chen Hang and Li Zhiqi

2019, 43(6):  3-19. 

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This study investigates the association between migration and birth intervals by utilizing data from 2017 China Fertility Survey. By constructing women's life course based on their migration, first marriage and birth date, we explore how different types of migration are associated with women's marriage-first-birth interval and first-second-birth interval using the method of survival analysis. The findings are summarized as following: (1) Migration has a postpone effect on childbearing; (2) However, the effects of migration vary by migrating time. Compared to non-migrants, women who experienced migrating event between marriage and first birth, or between first and second birth significantly prolonged their marriage-first-birth interval and first-second-birth interval respectively. But women who didnt migrate between first marriage and first birth or between first and second birth had shortened intervals compared to non-migrants.

The Study on the Impact of Population Ageing on Labor Productivity

Li Jingbo

2019, 43(6):  20-32. 

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Labor productivity is a symbolic indicator that determines the potential growth of the regional economy. Under the situation of population ageing, understanding the relationship between the population ageing and labor productivity is very important for understanding the source of economic growth and maintaining sustainable development. We use dynamic panel data models to study the effects of population ageing on labor productivity. It is found that the impact of population ageing on labor productivity varies significantly in different periods. In the short term, the current level of population ageing and the one-period lag level of population ageing have significant different effects on labor productivity. However, the long-term effect of the elderly dependency ratio on labor productivity has been identified to be not significant. At the same time, the relationship between population ageing and labor productivity shows an “Inverted U” shape. The point of elderly dependency ratio for the maximum labor productivity is between 8.65% and 8.79%. The results are quite stable under other indicators of population ageing. 

The Social Psychological Wellbeing of the Left-behind Children: Findings from A Large Random #br# Sample of Jingyang County in Shaanxi Province

Guo Shenyang,Sun Xiaodong,Peng Jin and Fang Yihua

2019, 43(6):  33-48. 

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Guided by the Social Information-Processing Theory, this study employes a large random sample (i.e., 681 Third-Grade pupils) generated by a blocked cluster design that represents Chinese Northwestern rural region to address the research question about the social information-processing skills and social psychological status of the left-behind children. The study uses the multilevel analysis and the ordered logistic regression model to analyze the longitudinal data that are comprised of study-children's self-administrated answers to the study questionnaire and teachers' ratings. Results show that in terms of the social psychological wellbeing, the left-behind children do not show worse outcomes than other children, and there is no evidence to support the causal linkage between being left-behind and commitment of crimes. It is important not to exaggerate the left-behind childrens problems. The stigmatization of left-behind children is not acceptable.

Does the Type of Mate Selection Affect Premarital Cohabitation? A Study Based on Data from #br# China Family Panel Studies

Liu Hao

2019, 43(6):  49-63. 

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This study examines the impact of mate selection on premarital cohabitation and analyzes the influential mechanisms. “Introduced” and “self-initiated” mating are two main types of mate selection in mainland China. Since the start of reform and opening-up, “self-initiated” mating and premarital cohabitation has increased concurrently. This study develops hypotheses based on Chinese context and uses three-wave data from China Family Panel Studies (CFPS) to examine how different types of mate selection affect premarital cohabitation by performing logit models and propensity score analysis. The results show that compared to couples introduced by others, couples who have met through self-initiation are more likely to cohabit before marriage, especially in less developed areas. These findings suggest that the changing pattern of mate selection from “introduced” to “self-initiated” mating has driven the emerging premarital cohabitation in mainland China.

Migrant Exogamy of the Ethnic Minorities in China

Shen Si,Jian Xiaoqin and Xu Shiying

2019, 43(6):  64-74. 

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Drawing upon data from 2015 China Migrants Dynamic Survey, this article examines trends and patterns of migrant exogamy of China's ethnic minorities. We present estimates of exogamy rates of migrant ethnic minorities by education level, occupation and ethnic group. Compared with the exogamy rates derived from the Sixth Population Census, our results show that the exogamy rates of migrant ethnic minorities are higher than those of the overall ethnic minorities, while the exogamy rates vary across ethnic groups. Compared with the traditional exogamy circle of ethnic minorities, the exogamy circle of the migrant ethnic minorities has undergone great changes. The exogamy rates of migrant women are higher than those of migrant men. Improving educational level of ethnic minority population will play a positive role in promoting migration and exogamy of the ethnic minorities.

Index Measurement on Stable Poverty Alleviation of the Population of China's Zhiguo #br# Ethnic Groups and Its Policy Implications: A Case Study of Dulong Nationality

Dai Qiongyao,Liu Jiaqiang and Tang Daisheng

2019, 43(6):  75-89. 

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The Dulong nationality is one of the smallest ethnic minorities in China, which is the first Zhiguo (directly-entering socialism) ethnic group that achieved an overall poverty alleviation in 2018; thus how to steadily shake off poverty of the Zhiguo ethnic groups has become a major policy concern. By calculating and decomposing the stable poverty alleviation index, this paper explores the implications of stable poverty alleviation and establishes its theoretical framework and evaluation system. The results suggest that the stable poverty alleviation performance of the Zhiguo ethnic groups has reached a presentable level, and the capital and ability of the out-of-poverty population are increasing over time. Structurally speaking, economic, human and social capital are weighed highly while natural capital being relatively weak for the stable poverty alleviation performance, which informs priorities of policies for stabilizing poverty alleviation of the Zhiguo ethnic groups in the future.

Seven Decades of Educational Assortative Mating in Mainland China

Shi Lei

2019, 43(6):  90-104. 

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Based on data from Chinese General Social Survey and Survey of Life Histories and Social Change in Contemporary China, this paper examines the trend of educational assortative mating in mainland China by using log-linear model. The results reveal an N-shape fluctuation. From 1949 to 1954, educational homogamy grew dramatically, while it dropped gradually from 1955 to 1984. Since 1985, educational homogamy has again increased rapidly. Long-distance educational heterogamy was common during the period of the Cultural Revolution, while it was rare before and after the Cultural Revolution. Further, the marriage between people with high school and middle school education and those with primary school or lower degree, which was mainly driven by public policy, was more prevalent in the early years of the People's Republic of China, the period of Cultural Revolution and the early years of reform and opening up, and peaked during the Cultural Revolution.

Retrospect and Prospect: Promotion and Education of Population Development Knowledge #br# in Mainland China

Yao Hongwen,Shi Qi,Chang Chun and Chu Xiaohan

2019, 43(6):  105-110. 

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This paper reviews the development of promotion and education of population knowledge in mainland China in recent decades, and dicusses both opportunities and challenges  brought by the new situation, new requirements and the changes of peoples needs. Chinas promotion and education system on population development has five merits: strong executive and mobilizing ability, strong coordination and cooperation ability, prominent advantages in publicity position and brand building, adequate talents and equipment, and frequent promotion of authentic population knowledge.There are also challenges, such as unclear objectives, positioning and contents of promotion and education, a lack of investiment in talents, and insufficient motivation. In the new era, the population development knowledge promotion and education in China should target on reaching social consensus, creating favorable environments, disseminating scientific knowledge, serving peoples health and promoting population development.Work contents should mainly focus on strengthening theoretical research, expanding policy publicity and guidance, developing population health and increasing international cooperation.Work strategies include system construction, resource integration, talent building, platform consolidation, innovative development and targeted publicity.