Table of Content

29 September 2018, Volume 42 Issue 5

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Evolution of Contraception Mix in China,2010-2016

Zou Yanhui, Liu Hongyan and Wanghui

2018, 42(5):  3-16. 

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Fertility intention,fertility behavior and the use of contraceptive measures have changed greatly since the early 21st century.This paper analyzes the contraceptive rate,contraceptive mix of married women at childbearing age using the data from 2010 to 2016,and discusses the changes in contraceptive patterns in the new era and the relationship between contraceptive use and induced abortion.The analysis shows that in the new period,especially after the adjustment and improvement of fertility policy,the composition of contraceptive mix has changed significantly:the IUD use has declined slightly,sterilization showed a dramatic decrease and the use of condom increased remarkably.In particular,the proportion of condom use has significantly changed since the late 2015 when the universal two-child policy was implemented.The contraceptive mix of different regions in China has its own characteristics,which is closely related to the different provisions and implementation of family planning.With the reduction of long term contraceptive methods and the increase of short acting methods,the risk of induced abortion increased significantly.


Parental Influence on Women’s Second-birth Plan in Urban China

Jin Yongai, Zhao Menghan and Song Jian

2018, 42(5):  17-29. 

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Using data from the 2016 fertility survey conducted in 12 cities of 6 provinces in mainland China,this study discusses the intergenerational effects on women’s plan for a second child in the era of universal two-child policy.We only focus on the main targeted group of this policy change——married women who are between age 20 and 44 and have only one child in urban China,contributing to the discussions regarding future fertility trend.Overall,the results suggest that parental childcare supports and fertility preferences significantly affect women’s birth plan.Specifically,the probability of having a second child plan is higher if parents can provide childcare assistance,prefer to have two or more grandchildren or have sex preference.Also,family income is positively associated with women’s plan to have a second child and moderates parental effects.The influence of parental sex preference on women’s second child plan is stronger in families with higher income.

Old-age Support for the First-generation Only-child Parents in Urban China

Wu Haixia

2018, 42(5):  30-44. 

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Based on the data of the first-generation only-child family survey in urban areas in 5 provinces,this paper examines the intention and its determinants of old-age support in family and in nursing home for the aging only-child parents.The results show that their family support level is low,and most parents are selfsupported,while there seem to be no serious risk in emotional and daily care support among the first-generation only-child parents.About 40% of the onlychild parents have willingness to stay in a nursing home in the future.The higher the education level and income of the only-child,the more economic supports are provided to parents.Parents living with the only-child are provided with more household support and have lower willingness to live in nursing home.Family support,rather than community-based services,has substitution effect on institutional support for the aging parents.

Changes of the Independence in Daily Living at both the Population andthe Individual Levels among the Older Population in China

Li Qiang and Zhang Zhen

2018, 42(5):  45-55. 

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Based on the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Study (CLHLS 2002~2011),this study assesses the age trajectories of the loss of independence in daily living for five cohorts aged 65~69,70~79,80~89,90~99 and 100+ at the 2002 survey,respectively,both at the individual and the population level.Results show that the decline of independence at the population level is more gradual than that at the individual level.A decomposition analysis further reveals that the difference in the pace of decline of independence can be largely attributed to selective mortality and loss to follow up.Moreover,such difference varies across cohorts.For the population as a whole,a longer life expectancy does not necessarily result in a rapid decline of independence.For individuals, however, prolonging lifespan tend to be accompanied with deterioration of independence except for the young old.


Intergenerational Exchange,Internalization of Responsibility or Altruism?The Impact of Grandchild-caring on the Elderly’s Intention for Old-age Support

Tao Tao, Liu Wenli and Sun Mingtao

2018, 42(5):  56-67. 

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Using data from China Longitudinal Aging Social Survey in 2014,this paper examines the elderly’s intention for old-age support,the intergenerational relationship and the effects of grandchild care.The results show that:First,there exists selectivity in the care for grandchildren.The elderly who feel closer to their children are more willing to provide care for grandchildren.Second,grandchild care also affects the relationship between the elderly and their children in turn.As the intensity of care increases,the conflicts between the elderly and their children are increasing.However,these short-term conflicts will not significantly affect the elderly’s intention for old-age support.Third,grandchild care will affect the elderly’s intention for old-age support.Compared with those who provide low-intensity care,the elderly who provide high-intensity care are more likely to live with their children in the future.This suggests that the grandchild care is more of intergenerational exchanges and family responsibilities than a completely altruistic behaviour.Finally,intergenerational relationship has no significant mediating or moderating effect on the influence of grandchild care.

The Impact of Parental Migration on School Behavior of Left-behind Older Children in Rural China:Evidence from China Education Panel Survey

Song Yueping

2018, 42(5):  68-77. 

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The impact of parental migration on school behavior of their children is multidimensional and differentiated by age.Based on the data from China Education Panel Survey,this paper measures the school behavior of left-behind older children from three perspectives:class integration,school adaptation and personal behavior control,and estimates the effect of parental migration on children’s school behavior by propensity score analysis.The results show that parental migration negatively affect school behavior of left-behind older children significantly,especially the class integration and personal behavior control. The parent-child separated migration not only affect the market competitive ability of the human resource in the near future,but also the ability to adapt to and be integrated into the society of the next generation,which needs to get more attention.

The Impact of Population Ageing on the Upgrading of Regional Industrial Structure:A Study Based on the Threshold Regression Model

Zhao Chunyan

2018, 42(5):  78-89. 

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In the context of differences in demographic and economic urbanization levels across the provinces of China,the impact of population ageing on the upgrading of industrial structure presents unbalanced features.Utilizing panel data of 30 provinces in China from 1998 to 2015,this paper conducts the panel regression threshold model to demonstrate the threshold effect of ageing on the upgrading of industrial structure.The empirical results show that there is a threshold effect on the impact of ageing on the upgrading of industrial structure.When the level of urbanization is greater than the threshold,population ageing promotes the upgrading of the industrial structure;otherwise it prevents the upgrading of the industrial structure.When population urbanization is considered as the threshold,only Beijing and Shanghai have passed the threshold,while the remaining 28 provinces are under the line.When economic urbanization is treated as the threshold,there are four provinces,i.e.,Beijing,Shanghai,Tianjin,and Guangdong,have crossed the threshold,while the remaining 26 provinces are below the standard.

Patterns and Determinants of Psychological Abuse of the Elderly in China#br#

Li Weifeng and Nie Qinghua

2018, 42(5):  90-102. 

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 Using data from the 2010 Survey on the Status of Chinese Women, this paper analyzes the overall situation, heterogeneity and determinants of psychological abuse of the older people in China.Psychological abuse is the most common and widespread form of abuses of the aged people with the
highest incidence(5. 1%)of all forms of abuses. There are large sociodemographic differentials in the elderly psychological abuse. Logistic regression model suggests that the older people who have multiple children, low income, poor health, cognitive bias and less assistance for their children experience significantly higher rates of psychological abuse. Psychological abuse of the older people in China is not only individual behaviour of social deviance, but also is closely related to the macro transformation of social culture. Effective measures should be actively pursued to prevent elderly psychological abuse.

Shidu Families and Support Policies: The Case of Henan Province#br#

Huang Tao

2018, 42(5):  103-112. 

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Shidu families refers to the parents that have lost their only child but are unable or unwilling to bear or adopt another one. This is a special group stemming from carrying out Chino's family planning policy, particularly the one-child policy. Because of the death of the only child. these families are increasingly confronted with material and spiritual difficulties, hence becoming"vunerable". Investigating the situation and claims of those families and related supporting policies has major impliations for enhancing people's sense of gaining and happiness and promoting social harmony and stability. Based on data from a survey of 400 shidu families conducted in Henan Province in 2017, this paper analyses the situation and problems of the families who have lost their only child, and raises polilcy recommandations involving institutional arrangement, social support network and spiritual comfortmechanism.